No abstract

We introduce a new model of the generation of pre-seismic electromagnetic emissions, which explains the observed phenomenology in terms of its geometry and fractal electrodynamics. Accumulated evidence indicates that an earthquake can be viewed as a critical phenomenon culminating in a large event that corresponds to a type of critical point. The principle feature of criticality is the fractal organization in both space and time. Earthquakes display a complex spatio-temporal behavior: in addition to the regularity in the rate of occurrence (e.g. Gutenberg-Richter law, Omori law), the spatial distribution of epicenters is fractal and earthquakes occur on a fractal structure of faults. Thus, the hypothesis that the fault develops as a fractal is reasonable. A mounting body of laboratory evidence suggests that micro-fracturing of rocks are associated with the appearance of spontaneous charge production and transient electromagnetic emissions (EME). The emitting, diffusing and recombination charge accompanying the micro-fracturing, can act as current generated during the crack opening. In this view, an active crack or rupture, can be simulated by a "radiating element." The idea is that a fractal geo-antenna (FGA) can be formed as an array of line elements having a fractal distribution on the ground surface as the critical point is approached. We test this idea in terms of fractal electrodynamics: we argue that the precursory VLF-VHF EM signals associated with recent earthquakes in Greece are governed by characteristics (e.g. scaling laws, temporal evolution of the spectrum content, broad band spectrum region and accelerating emission rate) predicted by fractal electrodynamics.

Abstract. In analogy to the study of critical phase transitions in statistical physics, it has been argued recently that the fracture of heterogeneous materials could be viewed as a critical phenomenon, either at laboratory or at geophysical scales. If the picture of the development of the fracture is correct one may guess that the precursors may reveal the critical approach of the main-shock. When a heterogeneous material is stretched, its evolution towards breaking is characterized by the appearance of microcracks before the final break-up. Microcracks produce both acoustic and electromagnetic (EM) emission in the frequency range from VLF to VHF. The microcracks and the associated acoustic and EM activities constitute the so-called precursors of general fracture. These precursors are detectable not only at laboratory but also at geophysical scales. VLF and VHF acoustic and EM emissions have been reported resulting from volcanic and seismic activities in various geologically distinct regions of the world. In the present work we attempt to establish the hypothesis that the evolution of the Earth's crust towards the critical point takes place not only in a mechanical but also in an electromagnetic sense. In other words, we focus on the possible electromagnetic criticality, which is reached while the catastrophic rupture in the Earth's crust approaches. Our main tool is the monitoring of micro-fractures that occur before the final breakup, by recording their radioelectromagnetic emissions. We show that the spectral power law analysis of the electromagnetic precursors reveals distinguishing signatures of underlying critical dynamics, such as: (i) the emergence of memory effects; (ii) the decrease with time of the anti-persistence behaviour; (iii) the presence of persistence properties in the tail of the sequence of the precursors; and (iv) the acceleration of the precursory electromagnetic energy release. Moreover, the statistical analysis of the amplitudes of the electromagnetic fluctuations reveals the breaking of the symmetry as the theory predicts. Finally, we try to answer the question: how universal the observed Correspondence to: K. A. Eftaxias (ceftax@phys.uoa.gr) electromagnetic critical behaviour of the failing system is?

Based on the study of pre-seismic very high frequency (VHF) and very low frequency (VLF) electromagnetic signals, we attempt to establish a set of necessary conditions referring to the underlying critical stage of the earthquake preparation process. This study combines concepts from spectral analysis associated with critical point hypothesis, results from laboratory experiments of rupture and seismological arguments. These conditions are fully satisfied in the case of the VLF-VHF pre-seismic signals associated with the Kozani-Grevena earthquake in Greece.

Abstract. Electromagnetic anomalies (EMA) covering a wide range of frequencies from ULF, VLF up to VHF have been observed before recent destructive earthquakes in continental Greece. We show that the features of these signals are possibly correlated with the fault model characteristics of the associated earthquake and with the degree of geotectonic heterogeneity within the focal zone. The time evolution of these electromagnetic sequences reveals striking similarities to that observed in laboratory acoustic and electromagnetic emissions during different stages of failure preparation process in rocks. If we consider that the same dynamics governs the large-scale earthquakes and the microscopic scale sample rheological structure, the results of this analysis suggest that the recorded EMA might reflect the nucleation phase of the associated impending earthquake. We focus on the rise of the statistical view of earthquakes. We find electromagnetic fingerprints of an underlying critical mechanism. Finally, we conclude that it is useful to combine ULF and VLF-VHF field measurements in an attempt to enhance the understanding of the physics behind these observations and thus to improve the quality of earthquake prediction. Further, the identification of an EMA as a seismogenic one supports the characterization of a sequence of shocks as foreshocks at the time they occur, further helping the earthquake prediction effort.