Copyright 2015 AIP Publishing. This article may be downloaded for personal use only. Any other use requires prior permission of the author and AIP PublishingAn estimate of the net direction of climate interactions in different geographical regions is made by constructing a directed climate network from a regular latitude-longitude grid of nodes, using a directionality index (DI) based on conditional mutual information (CMI). Two datasets of surface air temperature anomalies-one monthly averaged and another daily averaged-are analyzed and compared. The network links are interpreted in terms of known atmospheric tropical and extratropical variability patterns. Specific and relevant geographical regions are selected, the net direction of propagation of the atmospheric patterns is analyzed, and the direction of the inferred links is validated by recovering some well-known climate variability structures. These patterns are found to be acting at various time-scales, such as atmospheric waves in the extratropics or longer range events in the tropics. This analysis demonstrates the capability of the DI measure to infer the net direction of climate interactions and may contribute to improve the present understanding of climate phenomena and climate predictability. The work presented here also stands out as an application of advanced tools to the analysis of empirical, real-world data. (C) 2015 AIP Publishing LLC.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version
Abstract. The fact that the climate on the earth is a highly complex dynamical system is well-known. In the last few decades great deal of effort has been focused on understanding how climate phenomena in one geographical region affects the climate of other regions. Complex networks are a powerful framework for identifying climate interdependencies. To further exploit the knowledge of the links uncovered via the network analysis (for, e.g., improvements in prediction), a good understanding of the physical mechanisms underlying these links is required. Here we focus on understanding the role of atmospheric variability, and construct climate networks representing internal and forced variability using the output of an ensemble of AGCM runs. A main strength of our work is that we construct the networks using MIOP (mutual information computed from ordinal patterns), which allows the separation of intraseasonal, intraannual and interannual timescales. This gives further insight to the analysis of climatological data. The connectivity of these networks allows us to assess the influence of two main indices, NINO3.4 -one of the indices used to describe ENSO (El Niño-Southern oscillation) -and of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), by calculating the networks from time series where these indices were linearly removed. A main result of our analysis is that the connectivity of the forced variability network is heavily affected by "El Niño": removing the NINO3.4 index yields a general loss of connectivity; even teleconnections between regions far away from the equatorial Pacific Ocean are lost, suggesting that these regions are not directly linked, but rather, are indirectly interconnected via El Niño, particularly at interannual timescales. On the contrary, on the internal variability network -independent of sea surface temperature (SST) forcing -the links connecting the Labrador Sea with the rest of the world are found to be significantly affected by NAO, with a maximum at intraannual timescales. While the strongest non-local links found are those forced by the ocean, the presence of teleconnections due to internal atmospheric variability is also shown.
During the last decade the techniques of complex network analysis have found application in climate research. The main idea consists in embedding the characteristics of climate variables, e.g., temperature, pressure or rainfall, into the topology of complex networks by appropriate linear and nonlinear measures. Applying such measures on climate time series leads to defining links between their corresponding locations on the studied region, whereas the locations are the network's nodes. The resulted networks, consequently, are analysed using the various network analysis tools present in literature in order to get a better insight on the processes, patterns and interactions occurring in climate system. In this regard we present ClimNet; a complete set of software tools to construct climate networks based on a wide range of linear (cross correlation) and nonlinear (Information theoretic) measures. The presented software will allow the construction of large networks' adjacency matrices from climate time series while supporting functions to tune relationships to different time-scales by means of symbolic ordinal analysis. The provided tools have been used in the production of various original contributions in climate research. This work presents an in-depth description of the implemented statistical functions widely used to construct climate networks. Additionally, a general overview of the architecture of the developed software is provided as well as a brief analysis of application examples.
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