Two methods of predicting difficult laryngoscopy were compared prospectively. Mallampati class and Wilson risk-sum were determined before operation and laryngeal view graded in 675 patients. Both tests identified five of 12 difficult laryngoscopies; twice as many patients were predicted to be difficult by Mallampati classification than by Wilson risk-sum. Inter-observer variation was minimal using Wilson risk-sum, but considerable for Mallampati classification. We prefer the Wilson risk-sum for assessment of the airway, while noting that both tests have poor sensitivities.

SAPS II demonstrated the best overall performance, but the superior calibration of APACHE II makes it the most appropriate model for comparisons of mortality rates in different ICUs. The significance of the Hosmer-Lemeshow C test in all the models suggest that new logistic regression coefficients should be generated and the systems retested before they could be used with confidence in Scottish ICUs.

The Effective Blood Concentration (EC) of propofol required to prevent response to surgical incision was determined in 65 ASA I or II female patients breathing either 100% oxygen or 67% N2O in oxygen. Propofol was administered via a microcomputer-controlled infusion system programmed to maintain the blood propofol concentration at predetermined target values. The blood propofol concentrations predicted by the micro-computer were validated by measurement of whole blood propofol concentration. Predicted and measured concentrations differed during infusion of propofol, but became similar after discontinuing the infusion for at least 90 s, suggesting that equilibration within the central compartment was incomplete during infusion. The response to the initial incision was observed and probit analysis used to determine the predicted blood concentration at which 50% of patients responded. The predicted EC50 for propofol/N2O/O2 and propofol/O2 was 4.5 micrograms ml-1 and 6.0 micrograms ml-1 respectively, and the measured EC50 propofol/N2O/O2 and propofol/O2 was 5.36 micrograms ml-1 and 8.1 micrograms ml-1, 67% nitrous oxide in oxygen reducing the predicted EC50 by 25% and the measured EC50 of propofol by 33%. The predicted EC may be more representative of the equilibrated concentration in the central compartment and thus reflective of tissue propofol concentrations.