This study examines the impact of trade on Cuban growth during different commercial policy regimes spanning the period from 1960 up to 2004, encompassing two essential economic structural transformations: the Cuban revolution and the fall of the Berlin Wall. For this purpose, the Granger causality is used by means of the modified Wald test for augmented-level vector autoregressive model with integrated and cointegrated processes introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutekepohl (1996). We show an import-led growth hypothesis during the Soviet-oriented pattern that is rejected after 1990, when exports are not only responsive to growth expansion but also to imports' behaviour.JEL classifications: C22, C32, C52, F31, F43.
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