BackgroundNutritional status, weight loss and cachexia have important prognostic implications in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Body mass index (BMI) has been implicated in COPD risk assessment, but information is mostly limited to composite scores or to patients with stable disease. We aimed to analyse the association between BMI and mortality in acute exacerbation of COPD.MethodsThis retrospective survey included 968 patients hospitalized due to acute exacerbation of COPD at the University Clinic Golnik from February 2002 to June 2007. Vital status was ascertained with Central Population Registry, and database was censored on November 1, 2008.ResultsMedian BMI was 25.08 kg/m2 (interquartile range, 21.55–29.05 kg/m2) and 210 patients (22%) had BMI < 21 kg/m2. During median follow-up of 3.26 years (1.79–4.76 years), 430 patients (44%) died. Lowest mortality was found for BMI 25.09–29.05 kg/m2. When divided per BMI decile, mortality was lowest for BMI 25.09–26.56 kg/m2 (33%). In univariate analysis, BMI per quartile and BMI per unit increase were predictive for all-cause mortality. In an adjusted model, BMI per 1 kg/m2 unit increase was associated with 5% less chance of death (hazard ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval 0.93–0.97).ConclusionsLow BMI < 21 kg/m2 is frequent in patients hospitalized due to acute exacerbation of COPD. Higher BMI was independently predictive of better long-term survival. A better outcome in obese patients compared to normal weight is in contrast to primary prevention data but concurs with observations of an obesity paradox in other cardiovascular diseases.

Background: Previous studies have suggested that the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic was associated with a decreased rate of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Data on how the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced mortality, seasonality of, and susceptibility to AECOPD in the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) population is scarce. Methods: We conducted a national population-based retrospective study using data from the Health Insurance Institute of Slovenia from 2015 to February 2021, with 2015–2019 as the reference. We extracted patient and healthcare data for AECOPD, dividing AECOPD into severe, resulting in hospitalisation, and moderate, requiring outpatient care. The national COPD population was generated based on dispensed prescriptions of inhalation therapies, and moderate AECOPD events were analysed based on dispensed AECOPD medications. We extracted data on all-cause and non-COVID mortality. Results: The numbers of severe and moderate AECOPD were reduced by 48% and 34%, respectively, in 2020. In the pandemic year, the seasonality of AECOPD was reversed, with a 1.5-fold higher number of severe AECOPD in summer compared to winter. The proportion of frequent exacerbators (⩾2 AECOPD hospitalisations per year) was reduced by 9% in 2020, with a 30% reduction in repeated severe AECOPD in frequent exacerbators and a 34% reduction in persistent frequent exacerbators (⩾2 AECOPD hospitalisations per year for 2 consecutive years) from 2019. The risk of two or more moderate AECOPD decreased by 43% in 2020. In the multivariate model, pandemic year follow-up was the only independent factor associated with a decreased risk for severe AECOPD (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61–0.84; p < 0.0001). In 2020, non-COVID mortality decreased (−15%) and no excessive mortality was observed in the COPD population. Conclusion: In the pandemic year, we found decreased susceptibility to AECOPD across severity spectrum of COPD, reversed seasonal distribution of severe AECOPD and decreased non-COVID mortality in the COPD population.

Implementation of guideline-recommended therapy was not optimal, particularly in patients who died during follow-up. The high long-term mortality calls for careful risk assessment and appropriate adherence to treatment guidelines.

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