Background
This study aimed to determine the impact of pulmonary complications on death after surgery both before and during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic.
Methods
This was a patient-level, comparative analysis of two, international prospective cohort studies: one before the pandemic (January–October 2019) and the second during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (local emergence of COVID-19 up to 19 April 2020). Both included patients undergoing elective resection of an intra-abdominal cancer with curative intent across five surgical oncology disciplines. Patient selection and rates of 30-day postoperative pulmonary complications were compared. The primary outcome was 30-day postoperative mortality. Mediation analysis using a natural-effects model was used to estimate the proportion of deaths during the pandemic attributable to SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Results
This study included 7402 patients from 50 countries; 3031 (40.9 per cent) underwent surgery before and 4371 (59.1 per cent) during the pandemic. Overall, 4.3 per cent (187 of 4371) developed postoperative SARS-CoV-2 in the pandemic cohort. The pulmonary complication rate was similar (7.1 per cent (216 of 3031) versus 6.3 per cent (274 of 4371); P = 0.158) but the mortality rate was significantly higher (0.7 per cent (20 of 3031) versus 2.0 per cent (87 of 4371); P < 0.001) among patients who had surgery during the pandemic. The adjusted odds of death were higher during than before the pandemic (odds ratio (OR) 2.72, 95 per cent c.i. 1.58 to 4.67; P < 0.001). In mediation analysis, 54.8 per cent of excess postoperative deaths during the pandemic were estimated to be attributable to SARS-CoV-2 (OR 1.73, 1.40 to 2.13; P < 0.001).
Conclusion
Although providers may have selected patients with a lower risk profile for surgery during the pandemic, this did not mitigate the likelihood of death through SARS-CoV-2 infection. Care providers must act urgently to protect surgical patients from SARS-CoV-2 infection.
BackgroundShort-term studies have shown that patients with type III intestinal failure often develop gallstones and have recommended prophylactic cholecystectomy. In this retrospective cohort study, we aimed to define the incidence and clinical consequences of cholelithiasis over an extended time period, in order to refine the role of prophylactic cholecystectomy in type III intestinal failure.MethodsData were retrospectively collected from a prospectively maintained audit. Patients with intestinal failure for 5 years or more were included. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate cumulative incidence over time. Predictors of cholelithiasis were evaluated by Cox regression.ResultsBetween 1 January 1983 and 1 December 2008, 81 patients were commenced on parenteral support lasting 5 years or more. Of 63 patients with no pre-existing gallstones on imaging, 17 (27%) developed gallstones during a median observation period of 133 months. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence at 10 years was 21%; at 20 years, 38%; and at 30 years, 47%. Thirteen of the 17 had symptoms and ten required surgical and/or endoscopic intervention. Increased weekly calorific content (P 0.003) and the provision of parenteral lipids (P 0.003) were predictors of cholelithiasis on univariable Cox regression.ConclusionMany patients with long-term intestinal failure develop gallstones over time, with a 20-year incidence of 38%. The majority of those have symptoms or complications and require intervention. Therefore, prophylactic en-passant cholecystectomy is justified when gallstones are present in type III intestinal failure, supporting routine pre-operative imaging of the gallbladder prior to abdominal surgery.
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