Abstract:There is still wide uncertainty about past flash-flood processes in mountain regions owing to the lack of systematic databases on former events. This paper presents a methodology to reconstruct peak discharge of flash floods and illustrates a case in an ungauged catchment in the Spanish Central System. The use of dendrogeomorphic evidence (i.e. scars on trees) together with the combined use of a two-dimensional (2D) numerical hydraulic model and a terrestrial laser scan (TLS) has allowed estimation of peak discharge of a recent flash flood. The size and height distribution of scars observed in the field have been used to define three hypothetical scenarios (S min or minimum scenario; S med or medium scenario; and S max or maximum scenario), thus illustrating the uncertainty involved in peak-discharge estimation of flash floods in ungauged torrents.All scars analysed with dendrogeomorphic techniques stem from a large flash flood which took place on 17 December 1997. On the basis of the scenarios, peak discharge is estimated to 79 š 14 m 3 s 1 . The average deviation obtained between flood stage and expected scar height was 0Ð09 š 0Ð53 m. From the data, it becomes obvious that the geomorphic position of trees is the main factor controlling deviation rate. In this sense, scars with minimum deviation were located on trees growing in exposed locations, especially on unruffled bedrock where the model predicts higher specific kinetic energy. The approach used in this study demonstrates the potential of tree-ring analysis in palaeohydrology and for flood-risk assessment in catchments with vulnerable goods and infrastructure.
The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of direct sunlight on eleven given points of interest in Villar del Humo (Cuenca, Central Spain), and to determine to what extent this direct insolation, which is affected by both the regional and the local geomorphological configuration, influences the state and type of degradation of the paintings or of the host rock. The analysis of potential direct insolation with geographical information system (GIS) tools and morphometric field measurements shows that in latitudes such as the ones studied in this case, not only insolation time but also the maximum angle of solar elevation above the horizon seem to be of relevance when it comes to determining the influence of direct insolation. We believe this to be useful information, in particular with regard to the management and preservation of this archaeological heritage, declared a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Calibration and validation of flood risk maps at a national or a supra-national level remains a problematic aspect due to the limited information available to carry out these tasks. However, this validation is essential to define the representativeness of the results and for end users to gain confidence in them. In recent years, the use of information derived from social networks is becoming generalized in the field of natural risks as a means of validating results. However, the use of data from social networks also has its drawbacks, such as the biases associated with age and gender and their spatial distribution. The use of information associated with phone calls to Emergency Services (112) can resolve these deficiencies, although other problems are still latent. For example, a bias does exist in the relationship between the size of the population and the number of calls to the Emergency Services. This last aspect determines that global regression models have not been effective in simulating the behavior of related variables (calls to Emergency Services-Potential Flood Risk). Faced with this situation, the use of local regression models (such as locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS)) showed satisfactory results in the calibration of potential flood risk levels in the Autonomous Community of Castilla-La Mancha (Spain). This provides a new methodological path to the calibration studies of flood risk cartographies at national and supra-national levels. The results obtained through LOESS local regression models allowed us to establish the correct relationship between categorized potential risk levels and the inferred potential risk. They also permitted us to define the cases in which said levels differed ostensibly and where potential risk due to floods assigned to those municipalities led to a lower level of confidence. Therefore, based on the number of calls to the Emergency Service, we can categorize those municipalities that should be the subject of a more detailed study and those whose classification should be revised in future updates. territory conditions the flood risk analysis approach [2]; each scale of work requires the use of different methods of analysis, and the results must satisfy different uses. Depending on the spatial extent of the analysis, de Moel et al. [2] propose four scales (supra-national, macro-scale or national, meso-scale or regional, and micro-scale or local). This does not mean they are isolated, because some of the analysis methodologies are valid for different scales (in many cases by using grouping techniques or by simplifying calculation processes). Approaches, analysis techniques, results, uncertainties, and processes used for validation of the results associated with each of these four working scales are included in de Moel et al. [2]. The processes used to validate results are key points that will require a greater effort in the future (regardless of the scale of work of the analysis), since they also determine the utility for end users [3]. Thus, de Moel et al. [2] r...
[1] Many flood events involving water and sediments have been characterized using classic hydraulics principles, assuming the existence of critical flow and many other simplifications. In this paper, hyperconcentrated flow discharge was evaluated by using paleoflood reconstructions (based on paleostage indicators [PSI]) combined with a detailed hydraulic analysis of the critical flow assumption. The exact location where this condition occurred was established by iteratively determining the corresponding cross section, so that specific energy is at a minimum. In addition, all of the factors and parameters involved in the process were assessed, especially those related to the momentum equation, existing shear stresses in the wetted perimeter, and nonhydrostatic and hydrostatic pressure distributions. The superelevation of the hyperconcentrated flow, due to the flow elevation curvature, was also estimated and calibrated with the PSI. The estimated peak discharge was established once the iterative process was unable to improve the fit between the simulated depth and the depth observed from the PSI. The methodological approach proposed here can be applied to other higher-gradient mountainous torrents with a similar geomorphic configuration to the one studied in this paper. Likewise, results have been derived with fewer uncertainties than those obtained from standard hydraulic approaches, whose simplifying assumptions have not been considered.
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