We show that in expanding regions, the scale factor measure can be reformulated as a local measure: Observations are weighted by integrating their physical density along a geodesic that starts in the longest-lived metastable vacuum. This explains why some of its properties are similar to those of the causal diamond measure. In particular, both measures are free of Boltzmann brains, subject to nearly the same conditions on vacuum stability. However, the scale factor measure assigns a much smaller probability to the observed value of the cosmological constant. The probability decreases further, like the inverse sixth power of the primordial density contrast, if the latter is allowed to vary.Comment: v2, minor editing, PRD format, 18 pages, 2 figure

Motivated by the lessons of black hole complementarity, we develop a causal patch description of eternal inflation. We argue that an observer cannot ascribe a semiclassical geometry to regions outside his horizon, because the large-scale metric is governed by the fluctuations of quantum fields. In order to identify what is within the horizon, it is necessary to understand the late time asymptotics. Any given worldline will eventually exit from eternal inflation into a terminal vacuum. If the cosmological constant is negative, the universe crunches. If it is zero, then we find that the observer's fate depends on the mechanism of eternal inflation. Worldlines emerging from an eternal inflation phase driven by thermal fluctuations end in a singularity. By contrast, if eternal inflation ends by bubble nucleation, the observer can emerge into an asymptotic, locally flat region. As evidence that bubble collisions preserve this property, we present an exact solution describing the collision of two bubbles.