To quantify and analyze the human demand for water resources and the available supply of water resource systems, this study combined emergy analysis and spatial autocorrelation analysis to establish a quanti cation and analysis system for water ecological footprint (WEF). First, the emergy theory of ecological economics and WEF were combined to propose an emergy quanti cation method for WEF and water ecological carrying capacity (WEC). Based on the spatial autocorrelation method, three-dimensional ecological footprint indicators (footprint size and depth) were introduced to analyze the spatial correlation and spatial aggregation of capital ow occupation and capital stock consumption in the water resource system. Using the Yellow River Basin (YRB) as the study area to verify the applicability of the WEF quanti cation and analysis system based on the emergy-spatial autocorrelation method, the following results were obtained. (1) From 2003 to 2018, the per capita WEF of the YRB generally showed a slow growth trend. The WEC was much lower than the WEF, and the water ecological de cit status remained unchanged. (2) Compared to the upper and lower reaches of the YRB, the middle reaches had a higher WEF, and the WEC of the YRB was generally high in the west and low in the east. (3) Except for Sichuan and Qinghai, the provinces (regions) in the YRB relied on water resource capital stock for social and economic development, and the sustainable development of the region was threatened. (4) Utilization of the water resources capital in the basin was generally unsustainable.
With the development of the economy, the contradiction of water resources in the lower Yellow River area is becoming increasingly serious. Economic development not only increases the socio-economic water demand, but also causes damage to the environment. In order to ensure the safety of the vast plains along the lower Yellow River, protect the environment of the lower Yellow River and estuaries, and achieve environmental sustainability of the lower Yellow River, a model was established to optimize the allocation of water resources with the goal of ecological, safety, and social benefits, combining the uncertainty of water resources, the uncertainty of the water demand during the flood season under different water and sediment conditions, and the water requirements of different water users. An improved ecological footprint method considering soil water was applied during the allocation. Thirty different scenarios were set up, and appropriate scenarios for 2025 and 2030 in wet, normal, and dry years were calculated, providing a reference for decision makers. Results show that: 1) The water supply is affected by the amount of water resources and water demand for sediment transport in the lower Yellow River. The satisfaction of sediment transport and the water supply rate during wet years can reach a high level of satisfaction. 2) When the regional water resources ecological footprint is the smallest, the allocation of water resources tends to the section or unit with a smaller ecological footprint. Therefore, the river sections with the lowest water shortage rates are Lijin-Hekou and Sunkou-Aishan, and the unit with a low water shortage is ecological and industrial water.
To quantify and analyze the human demand for water resources and the available supply of water resource systems, this study combined emergy analysis and spatial autocorrelation analysis to establish a quantification and analysis system for water ecological footprint (WEF). First, the emergy theory of ecological economics and WEF were combined to propose an emergy quantification method for WEF and water ecological carrying capacity (WEC). Based on the spatial autocorrelation method, three-dimensional ecological footprint indicators (footprint size and depth) were introduced to analyze the spatial correlation and spatial aggregation of capital flow occupation and capital stock consumption in the water resource system. Using the Yellow River Basin (YRB) as the study area to verify the applicability of the WEF quantification and analysis system based on the emergy-spatial autocorrelation method, the following results were obtained. (1) From 2003 to 2018, the per capita WEF of the YRB generally showed a slow growth trend. The WEC was much lower than the WEF, and the water ecological deficit status remained unchanged. (2) Compared to the upper and lower reaches of the YRB, the middle reaches had a higher WEF, and the WEC of the YRB was generally high in the west and low in the east. (3) Except for Sichuan and Qinghai, the provinces (regions) in the YRB relied on water resource capital stock for social and economic development, and the sustainable development of the region was threatened. (4) Utilization of the water resources capital in the basin was generally unsustainable. It is necessary to take measures to promote rational allocation and efficient utilization of water resources for the coordinated development of society, the economy, and the environment in the YRB.
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