Satellite-based precipitation products, especially those with high temporal and spatial resolution, constitute a potential alternative to sparse rain gauge networks for multidisciplinary research and applications. In this study, the validation of the 30-year Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks-Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) daily precipitation dataset was conducted over the Huai River Basin (HRB) of China. Based on daily precipitation data from 182 rain gauges, several continuous and categorical validation statistics combined with bias and error decomposition techniques were employed to quantitatively dissect the PERSIANN-CDR performance on daily, monthly, and annual scales. With and without consideration of non-rainfall data, this product reproduces adequate climatologic precipitation characteristics in the HRB, such as intra-annual cycles and spatial distributions. Bias analyses show that PERSIANN-CDR overestimates daily, monthly, and annual precipitation with a regional mean percent total bias of 11%. This is related closely to the larger positive false bias on the daily scale, while the negative non-false bias comes from a large underestimation of high percentile data despite overestimating lower percentile data. The systematic sub-component (error from high precipitation), which is independent of timescale, mainly leads to the PERSIANN-CDR total Mean-Square-Error (TMSE). Moreover, the daily TMSE is attributed to non-false error. The correlation coefficient (R) and Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) respectively suggest that this product can well capture the temporal variability of precipitation and has a moderate-to-high overall performance skill in reproducing precipitation. The corresponding capabilities increase from the daily to annual scale, but decrease with the specified precipitation thresholds. Overall, the PERSIANN-CDR product has good (poor) performance in detecting daily low (high) rainfall events on the basis of Probability of Detection, and it has a False Alarm Ratio of above 50% for each precipitation threshold. The Equitable Threat Score and Heidke Skill Score both suggest that PERSIANN-CDR has a certain ability to detect precipitation between the second and eighth percentiles. According to the Hanssen–Kuipers Discriminant, this product can generally discriminate rainfall events between two thresholds. The Frequency Bias Index indicates an overestimation (underestimation) of precipitation totals in thresholds below (above) the seventh percentile. Also, continuous and categorical statistics for each month show evident intra-annual fluctuations. In brief, the comprehensive dissection of PERSIANN-CDR performance reported herein facilitates a valuable reference for decision-makers seeking to mitigate the adverse impacts of water deficit in the HRB and algorithm improvements in this product.
Despite numerous assessments of satellite-based and reanalysis precipitation across the globe, few studies have been conducted based on the precipitation linear trend (LT), particularly during daytime and nighttime, when there are different precipitation mechanisms. Herein, we first examine LTs for the whole day (LTwd), daytime (LTd), and nighttime (LTn) over mainland China (MC) in 2003–2017, with sub-daily observations from a dense rain gauge network. For MC and ten Water Resources Regions (WRRs), annual and seasonal LTwd, LTd, and LTn were generally positive but with evident regional differences. Subsequently, annual and seasonal LTs derived from six satellite-based and six reanalysis popular precipitation products were evaluated using metrics of correlation coefficient (CC), bias, root-mean-square-error (RMSE), and sign accuracy. Finally, metric-based optimal products (OPs) were identified for MC and each WRR. Values of each metric for annual and seasonal LTwd, LTd, or LTn differ among products; meanwhile, for any single product, performance varied by season and time of day. Correspondingly, the metric-based OPs varied among regions and seasons, and between daytime and nighttime, but were mainly characterized by OPs of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B42, ECMWF Reanalysis (ERA)-Interim, and Modern Era Reanalysis for Research and Applications (MERRA)-2. In particular, the CC-based (RMSE-based) OPs in southern and northern WRRs were generally TRMM3B42 and MERRA-2, respectively. These findings imply that to investigate precipitation change and obtain robust related conclusions using precipitation products, comprehensive evaluations are necessary, due to variation in performance within one year, one day and among regions for different products. Additionally, our study facilitates a valuable reference for product users seeking reliable precipitation estimates to examine precipitation change across MC, and an insight (i.e., capacity in detecting LTs, including daytime and nighttime) for developers improving algorithms.
This study systematically assessed the performance of the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals (IMERG) for Global Precipitation Measurement V06, including the near-real-time "Late Run" (IMERG-L) and the post-real-time "Final Run" (IMERG-F), over Zhejiang Province (ZJP), China. The evaluation was conducted at daily and hourly timescales for a full year and for each season, based on dense rain gauge observations and continuous and categorical validation statistics. For the full year and for each season, IMERG-F outperformed IMERG-L in representing the spatial pattern of multiyear mean precipitation. For regional mean of ZJP, IMERG-F and IMERG-L overestimated the daily/hourly precipitation for the full year by 6.51 and 4.98%, respectively. Among seasons, the regional mean relative biases for IMERG-F were between 5.65 and 8.63%; however, for IMERG-L, they exhibited notable variations with a maximum of 11.09% in fall and a minimum of 0 in spring. Bias composition suggested that the regional mean overestimations were largely due to false bias for the full year and for each season, except in winter, wherein it was due to hit bias. Spatially, the biases for the full year and for each season commonly arose from false and hit biases at daily timescale, and from false and miss biases at hourly timescale. Based on the remaining continuous metrics (i.e., root-mean-square-error [RMSE], correlation coefficient [CC], and Kling-Gupta Efficiency [KGE]) and all categorical metrics, the IMERG daily/hourly performance was acceptable on regional and grid scales throughout the year and in all seasons. From a region-average perspective, IMERG-F outperformed IMERG-L according to CC, RMSE, and KGE, but both products showed the same performance overall based on all categorical metrics; most grids also share these characteristics. This study provides a valuable reference for IMERG developers to improve product accuracy from the perspective of the final postprocessing step and for potential users in ZJP.
Abstract:Reference evapotranspiration (ET 0 ) is a crucial parameter for hydrological modeling, land-atmospheric interaction investigations and agricultural irrigation management. This study investigated changes in ET 0 and attributed those changes to climate variations in a coastal area (Zhejiang province) of China by a numerical experiment method. The results indicated that annual ET 0 increased significantly (p < 0.05) at a rate of 1.58 mm·year −1 from 1973 to 2013, which was mainly caused by an obvious increase in ET 0 in spring. Air temperature and water vapor pressure deficits increased significantly (p < 0.05) at rates of 0.04 • C·year −1 and 0.005 kPa·year −1 , respectively, at an annual time scale during the study period, while wind speed and solar radiation decreased significantly (p < 0.05) at rates of −0.01 m/s·year −1 and −3.94 MJ·m −2 ·day −1 ·year −1 , respectively. The contributions of changes in air temperature, wind speed, water vapor pressure deficits and solar radiation to increases in ET 0 were 0.39, −0.56, 2.62 and −0.61 mm·year −1 , respectively. The decrease in wind speed and solar radiation negatively affected the increase in ET 0 , which was offset by the positive effects of the air temperature and water vapor pressure deficits increase, where the water vapor pressure deficits was the dominant factor in increasing ET 0 in the coastal area. Moreover, the impact of topography on ET 0 was further discussed. ET 0 changes at plain stations were approximately 5.4 times those at hill stations, which may be due to the impact of a large water body and the augment of surface roughness from intense human activities in the well-developed plain area. The results are helpful for investigating spatial and temporal changes in the evaporative demand for well-developed regions under energy-limited conditions.
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