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Network traffic forecasting is essential for efficient network management and planning. Accurate long-term forecasting models are also essential for proactive control of upcoming congestion events. Due to the complex spatial-temporal dependencies between traffic flows, traditional time series forecasting models are often unable to fully extract the spatial-temporal characteristics between the traffic flows. To address this issue, we propose a novel dual-channel based graph convolutional network (DC-STGCN) model. The proposed model consists of two temporal components that characterize the daily and weekly correlation of the network traffic. Each of these two components contains a spatial-temporal characteristics extraction module consisting of a dual-channel graph convolutional network (DCGCN) and a gated recurrent unit (GRU). The DCGCN further consists of an adjacency feature extraction module (AGCN) and a correlation feature extraction module (PGCN) to capture the connectivity between nodes and the proximity correlation, respectively. The GRU further extracts the temporal characteristics of the traffic. The experimental results based on real network data sets show that the prediction accuracy of the DC-STGCN model overperforms the existing baseline and is capable of making long-term predictions.

Network traffic prediction is an important tool for the management and control of IoT, and timely and accurate traffic prediction models play a crucial role in improving the IoT service quality. The degree of burstiness in intelligent network traffic is high, which creates problems for prediction. To address the problem faced by traditional statistical models, which cannot effectively extract traffic features when dealing with inadequate sample data, in addition to the poor interpretability of deep models, this paper proposes a prediction model (fusion prior knowledge network) that incorporates prior knowledge into the neural network training process. The model takes the self-similarity of network traffic as a priori knowledge, incorporates it into the gating mechanism of the long short-term memory neural network, and combines a one-dimensional convolutional neural network with an attention mechanism to extract the temporal features of the traffic sequence. The experiments show that the model can better recover the characteristics of the original data. Compared with the traditional prediction model, the proposed model can better describe the trend of network traffic. In addition, the model produces an interpretable prediction result with an absolute correction factor of 76.4%, which is at least 10% better than the traditional statistical model.

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With the rapid growth of the encrypted network traffic, the identification to it becomes a hot topic in information security. Since the existing methods have difficulties in identifying the application which the encrypted traffic belongs to, a new encrypted traffic identification scheme is proposed in this paper. The proposed scheme has two levels. In the first level, the entropy and estimation of Monte Carlo π value as features are used to identify the encrypted traffic by C4.5 decision tree. In the second level, the application types are distinguished from the encrypted traffic selected above. First, the variational automatic encoder is used to extract the layer features, which is combined with the frequently-used stream features. Meanwhile, the mutual information is used to reduce the dimensionality of the combination features. Finally, the random forest classifier is used to obtain the optimal result. Compared with the existing methods, the experimental results show that the proposed scheme not only has faster convergence speed but also achieves better performance in the recognition accuracy, recall rate, and F1-Measure, which is higher than 97%.

Timely and accurate network traffic prediction is a necessary means to realize network intelligent management and control. However, this work is still challenging considering the complex temporal and spatial dependence between network traffic. In terms of spatial dimension, links connect different nodes, and the network traffic flowing through different nodes has a specific correlation. In terms of spatial dimension, not only the network traffic at adjacent time points is correlated, but also the importance of distant time points is not necessarily less than the nearest time point. In this paper, we propose a novel intelligent network traffic prediction method based on joint attention and GCN-GRU (AGG). The AGG model uses GCN to capture the spatial features of traffic, GRU to capture the temporal features of traffic, and attention mechanism to capture the importance of different temporal features, so as to realize the comprehensive consideration of the spatial-temporal correlation of network traffic. The experimental results on an actual dataset show that, compared with other baseline models, the AGG model has the best performance in experimental indicators, such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), accuracy (ACC), determination coefficient ( R 2 ), and explained variance score (EVS), and has the ability of long-term prediction.

The rapid development of information technology has promoted the transformation of traditional networks into intelligent networks. Huge data traffic is generated by various types of traffic services in the intelligent networks, which can easily lead to network congestion, system instability, and other problems. These problems may incur great requirements and pose challenges for queue management algorithms. Most traditional active queue management (AQM) algorithms judge the congestion level of the network based only on the size of the average queue length while ignoring the network traffic variations. This makes these algorithms difficult to achieve effective improvement of congestion control efficiency. To address this problem, a novel network congestion control algorithm, namely the average queue length and change rate -RED (AC-RED) is proposed in this paper. AC-RED can better relieve network congestion by reconfiguring the packet loss strategy model based on the average queue length change rate. The simulation results of NS2 show that in complex and dynamic network environments, the performance of AC-RED algorithm in the average queue length, packet loss rate, delay, and delay jitter is improved in most load conditions compared with the other five algorithms.INDEX TERMS Active queue management; network congestion; average queue length change rate; AC-RED; NS2

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