Compared to conventional private vehicles (CPVs), shared autonomous vehicles (SAVs) provide users the potential for the reduced value of time (VoT), improved mobility experience, and less traffic congestion. In the presence of the SAV system, numerous studies have mainly concentrated on the strategic planning and operational decision problem separately while ignoring the complicated interaction between them and the distinct features of autonomous vehicles. It is imperative to determine the relocation and pricing strategies at the operational level. In this study, in terms of the pricing strategy, we formalize a logit model to capture the mode choice behavior in a multimodal network, where the reduced VoT is considered simultaneously. A time-space network is employed to capture the daily operation problem based on the elastic demand. The minimum customer service rate is regarded as a constraint to ensure the system’s reliability. Moreover, a mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) model is formulated to jointly determine the number of stations and parking spaces, fleet size, relocation, and pricing strategies to maximize the total profit. Then, we integrate the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm with the optimization solver Gurobi to address the complex problem. Numerical experiments and comparative analyses are conducted to demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed model.
With the advent of the data-driven era, deep learning approaches have been gradually introduced to short-term traffic flow prediction, which plays a vital role in the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS). A hybrid predicting model based on deep learning is proposed in this paper, including three steps. Firstly, an improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) method is applied to decompose the nonlinear time series of highway traffic flow to obtain the intrinsic mode function (IMF). The fuzzy entropy (FE) is then calculated to recombine subsequences, highlighting traffic flow dynamics in different frequencies and improving prediction efficiency. Finally, the Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) is adopted to predict the recombined subsequences, and the final prediction result is reconstructed. Two sensors of US101-S on the main road and on-ramp were selected to measure the prediction effect. The results show that the prediction error of the proposed model on two sensors is notably decreased on single-step and multistep prediction, compared with the original TCN model. Furthermore, the proposed improved CEEMDAN-FE-X framework can be combined with prevailing prediction methods to increase the prediction accuracy, among which the improved CEEMDAN-FE-TCN model has the best performance and strong robustness.
An event logic graph is a kind of knowledge mapping technology for knowledge inference and simulation analysis, which takes events as the core and portrays the hierarchical system and logical evolution pattern between events. In order to apply it to further improve the accuracy of related studies, such as pedestrian flow evacuation, simulation model optimization and risk prediction. In this paper, we use social network resources, media resources and journal database resources to build our corpus and adopt the explicit event relationship extraction method based on syntactic dependency and the implicit event relationship extraction method based on BERT+Bi-LSTM+Attention+Softmax for the characteristics of explicit event relationship and implicit event relationship, respectively. This paper constructs a pedestrian flow evacuation matter mapping for three typical scenarios and discusses its application path. It is found that once a sound knowledge base of logical reasoning and event logic graph is established, both research on optimization of pedestrian flow evacuation simulation models and research on identification and assessment of pedestrian flow evacuation safety risks will receive excellent support.
The work zone on the urban road network will affect the surrounding road traffic. To represent the influence area of the work zone, the concept of a subnetwork is proposed in this paper. Delineating a suitable subnetwork quantitatively is a challenging problem. To address this issue, the node synthesized indexes (NSI) are deployed as a variability measure that captures both the change of link flow and origin-destination (OD) demand. The inertia-based stochastic user equilibrium with the elastic demand (ISUEED) model is proposed to accurately provide the data of link flow and OD demand for the network with the work zone. Correspondingly, the data of the network without a work zone can be obtained by the stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) model. According to the value of NSI, the initial range of the subnetwork is determined. Finally, the connectivity and compactness can be guaranteed by the modified L-shell algorithm. To demonstrate the performance of the method, two case studies and sensitivity analyses are conducted based on the Braess network and the local road network in Changchun, China. The proposed method is beneficial to reduce the complexity of the traffic model by substituting the entire network with a subnetwork.
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