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To better understand the statistical properties of the deterministic inputs, noisy “and” gate cognitive diagnosis (DINA) model, the impact of several factors on the quality of the item parameter estimates and classification accuracy was investigated. Results of the simulation study indicate that the fully Bayes approach is most accurate when the prior distribution matches the latent class structure. However, when the latent classes are of indefinite structure, the empirical Bayes method in conjunction with an unstructured prior distribution provides much better estimates and classification accuracy. Moreover, using empirical Bayes with an unstructured prior does not lead to extremely poor results as other prior‐estimation method combinations do. The simulation results also show that increasing the sample size reduces the variability, and to some extent the bias, of item parameter estimates, whereas lower level of guessing and slip parameter is associated with higher quality item parameter estimation and classification accuracy.

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SUMMARYTo date, increasing number of entities on the smart grid begin to establish their local energy generator for ensuring reliability and resilience of power supply. These 'microgrids' can either connect to the power grid or isolate themselves from the grid by consuming their locally generated or stored energy. In reality, some microgrids may have excessive energy while the others may have to request extra energy from the main grid. To better balance the demand and supply of the distributed smart microgrids, it is desired to develop peer-to-peer (P2P) energy exchange models that enable microgrids to interactively exchange their local energy instead of consuming energy delivered from the main grid. However, in this scenario, all the microgrids have to disclose their private information (e.g., demand load and energy storage amount) to each other in the exchange. To tackle these issues, in this paper, we first formulate several novel energy exchange optimization problems that minimize the global energy loss during the exchange in different scenarios, and then develop an efficient and privacy-preserving scheme to solve the energy exchange optimization problems without private information disclosure. We also extend the privacy-preserving scheme to a collusion-resistant scheme in which all the microgrids cannot learn any additional information through colluding with each other. The performance of our proposed approaches is experimentally validated on real microgrid data.

In this article a radial basis function (RBF) neural network improved by Gaussian mixture model is developed to be used for forecasting ionospheric 30 min total electron content (TEC) data given the merits of its nonlinear modeling capacity. In order to understand more about the response of developed network model with respect to stations situated at different latitude, estimated TEC overhead of GPS ground stations BJFS (39.61°N, 115.89°E), WUHN (30.53°N, 114.36°E), and KUNM (25.03°N, 102.80°E) for 6 months in 2011 are used for training data set, validating data and test data set of RBF network model. The performance of the trained model is evaluated at a set of criteria. Our results show that the predicted TEC is in good agreement with observations with mean relative error of about 9% and root-mean-square error of less than 5 total electron content unit, 1 TECU = 10 16 el m À2 . Our comparison further indicates that RBF network offers a powerful and reliable tool for the design of ionospheric TEC forecast.

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Precise Point Positioning (PPP) is a popular technology for precise applications based on the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS). Multi-GNSS combined PPP has become a hot topic in recent years with the development of multiple GNSSs. Meanwhile, with the operation of the real-time service (RTS) of the International GNSS Service (IGS) agency that provides satellite orbit and clock corrections to broadcast ephemeris, it is possible to obtain the real-time precise products of satellite orbits and clocks and to conduct real-time PPP. In this contribution, the real-time multi-GNSS orbit and clock corrections of the CLK93 product are applied for real-time multi-GNSS PPP processing, and its orbit and clock qualities are investigated, first with a seven-day experiment by comparing them with the final multi-GNSS precise product 'GBM' from GFZ. Then, an experiment involving real-time PPP processing for three stations in the Multi-GNSS Experiment (MGEX) network with a testing period of two weeks is conducted in order to evaluate the convergence performance of real-time PPP in a simulated kinematic mode. The experimental result shows that real-time PPP can achieve a convergence performance of less than 15 min for an accuracy level of 20 cm. Finally, the real-time data streams from 12 globally distributed IGS/MGEX stations for one month are used to assess and validate the positioning accuracy of real-time multi-GNSS PPP. The results show that the simulated kinematic positioning accuracy achieved by real-time PPP on different stations is about 3.0 to 4.0 cm for the horizontal direction and 5.0 to 7.0 cm for the three-dimensional (3D) direction.

The real-time State Space Representation (SSR) product of the GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) orbit and clock is one of the most essential corrections for real-time precise point positioning (PPP). In this work, the performance of current SSR products from eight analysis centers were assessed by comparing it with the final product and the accuracy of real-time PPP. Numerical results showed that (1) the accuracies of the GPS SSR product were better than 8 cm for the satellite orbit and 0.3 ns for the satellite clock; (2) the accuracies of the GLONASS (GLObalnaya NAvigatsionnaya Sputnikovaya Sistema) SSR product were better than 10 cm for orbit RMS (Root Mean Square) and 0.6 ns for clock STD (Standard Deviation); and (3) the accuracies of the BDS (BeiDou Navigation Satellite System) and Galileo SSR products from CLK93 were about 14.54 and 4.42 cm for the orbit RMS and 0.32 and 0.18 ns for the clock STD, respectively. The simulated kinematic PPP results obtained using the SSR products from CLK93 and CLK51 performed better than those using other SSR products; and the accuracy of PPP based on all products was better than 6 and 10 cm in the horizontal and vertical directions, respectively. The real-time kinematic PPP experiment carried out in Beijing, Tianjin, and Shijiazhuang, China indicated that the SSR product CLK93 from Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES) had a better performance than CAS01. Moreover, the PPP with GPS + BDS dual systems had a higher accuracy than those with only a GPS single system.