Global declines in coastal foundation species highlight the importance of effective restoration. In this study, we examined the effects of source population identity and diversity (one vs. three sources per plot) on seagrass (Zostera marina) transplant success. The field experiment was replicated at two locations in Massachusetts with adjacent natural Zostera marina beds to test for local adaptation and source diversity effects on shoot density. We also collected morphological and genetic data to characterize variation within and among source populations, and evaluate whether they were related to performance. Transplants grew and expanded until six months post-transplantation, but then steadily declined at both sites. Prior to declines, we observed variation in performance among source populations at one site that was related to morphological traits: the populations with the longest leaves had the highest shoot densities, whereas the population with the shortest leaves performed the worst at six months post-transplantation. In addition, multiple source plots at this same transplant site consistently had similar or higher shoot densities than single source plots, and shoots from weak-performing populations showed improved performance in multiple source plots. We found no evidence for home site advantage or benefits of population-level genetic variation in early transplant performance at either site. Our results show limited effects of source population on early transplant performance and suggest that factors (e.g., morphology) other than home site advantage and population genetic variation serve a role. Based on our overall findings that transplant success varied among source populations and that population diversity at the plot level had positive but limited effects on individual and plot performance, we support planting shoots from multiple source sites in combination to enhance transplant success, particularly in the absence of detailed information on individual source characteristics.
The responses of marsh elevation in four National Parks affected by Hurricane Sandy were examined using empirical data from surface elevation tables (SET) and modeling. The parks examined were Fire Island National Seashore and Gateway National Recreational Area in New York; Cape Cod National Seashore, Massachusetts; and Assateague Island National Seashore, Maryland. Observed vertical accretion rates were compared with calculations made with the Marsh Equilibrium Model (MEM). MEM predicts vertical accretion resulting from the accumulation of organic material in soil and the capture of suspended inorganic material at the marsh surface. MEM simulations of a decade or more of marsh elevation change at 52 SET stations were generally consistent with observations. Park-specific averages of observed vertical accretion ranged from 0.16 ± 0.33 (± 1 SD) to 0.51 ± 0.21 cm/year, while the range of calculated rates was 0.15 ± 0.03 to 0.22 ± 0.05 cm/year, depending on the park. Grand means of observed and calculated rates were 0.36 ± 0.34 and 0.19 ± 0.06 cm/year, respectively. We defined a novel metric termed normalized elevation capital (NEC) that incorporates information about tide range and elevation capital. All but 2.3% of biomass collections from all the parks fell within 0 < NEC < 1. Consistent with marsh equilibrium theory, long-term vertical accretion rate tended to be greatest, 0.4 ± 0.2 cm/year, in the range 0.4 < NEC < 0.6 where vertical accretion is dominated by organic production. Average episodic accretion during the storm from mineral deposition also was greatest and positive, 0.6 ± 0.9 cm in the range 0.4 < NEC < 0.6. Finally, one marsh in Gateway NRA, restored by an application of sediment to NEC = 0.55-0.68, had post-treatment vertical accretion rates of 0.36 ± 0.31 cm/year, not statistically different from SET stations elsewhere in Gateway, 0.57 ± 0.54 cm/year. The sediment amendment placed restored sites in the range of NEC where theory predicts that biogenic accretion should dominate vertical accretion. Model simulations suggest that current rates of vertical accretion in the parks are close to their theoretical limits, and in the absence of new sediment, extant marsh communities in these parks are unlikely to survive continued acceleration of sea-level rise in the absence of periodic sediment renourishment.
Sea surface temperature (SST) has increased worldwide since the beginning of the 20th century, a trend which is expected to continue. Changes in SST can have significant impacts on marine biota, including population-level shifts and alterations in community structure and diversity, and changes in the timing of ecosystem events. Seagrasses are a group of foundation species that grow in shallow coastal and estuarine systems, where they provide many ecosystem services. Eelgrass, Zostera marina L., is the dominant seagrass species in the Northeast United States of America (USA). Multiple factors have been cited for losses in this region, including light reduction, eutrophication, and physical disturbance. Warming has the potential to exacerbate seagrass loss. Here, we investigate regional changes in eelgrass presence and abundance in relation to local water temperature using monitoring data from eight sites in the Northeastern USA (New Hampshire to Maryland) where a consistent monitoring protocol, SeagrassNet, has been applied. We use a hurdle model consisting of a generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) with binomial and beta response distributions for modeling eelgrass presence and abundance, respectively, in relation to the local summer average water temperature. We show that summer water temperature one year prior to monitoring is a significant predictor of eelgrass presence, but not abundance, on a regional scale. Above average summer temperatures correspond to a decrease in probability of eelgrass presence (and increased probability of eelgrass absence) the following year. Cooler than average temperatures in the preceding year, down to approximately 0.5°C below the site average, are associated with the highest predicted probability of eelgrass presence. Our findings suggest vulnerability in eelgrass meadows of the Northeast USA and emphasize the value of unified approaches to seagrass monitoring, conservation and management at the seascape scale.
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