Background Sarcopenia is a significant indicator of the severity of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. We investigated whether sarcopenia could identify subgroups with different risk of liver fibrosis and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) among subjects with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). Methods Subjects from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2008-2011 were selected (n = 8361). Sarcopenia was defined using the sarcopenia index. Hepatic steatosis was defined as a fatty liver index ≥30. Significant liver fibrosis was defined as a fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) ≥2.67 or the highest quartile of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS). High probability of ASCVD was defined as ASCVD risk score >10%. ResultsThe mean age was 48.5 ± 15.6 years, and 42.6% of subjects were male. The prevalence of MAFLD was 37.3% (n = 3116 of 8361), and the proportion of sarcopenic subjects was 9.9% among those with MAFLD. After adjusting for confounders, the risk of significant liver fibrosis significantly increased from non-sarcopenic subjects with MAFLD [odds ratio (OR) = 1.57 by FIB-4 and 2.13 by NFS] to sarcopenic subjects with MAFLD (OR = 4.51 by FIB-4 and 5.72 by NFS), compared with subjects without MAFLD (all P < 0.001). The risk for high probability of ASCVD significantly increased from non-sarcopenic subjects with MAFLD (OR = 1.47) to sarcopenic subjects with MAFLD (OR = 4.08), compared with subjects without MAFLD (all P < 0.001). Conclusions The risks of significant liver fibrosis and ASCVD differed significantly according to sarcopenic status among subjects with MAFLD. An assessment of sarcopenia might be helpful in risk stratification among subjects with MAFLD.
Objectives Hepatocellular carcinoma can develop after hepatitis C virus eradication. We developed a new hepatocellular carcinoma risk score (HCC-SVR score) based on independent predictors for chronic hepatitis C after sustained virological response. Methods Between 2003 and 2016, a total of 1193 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved sustained virological response through antiviral therapy were included (669 for training cohort and 524 for validation cohort). The HCC-SVR score was developed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression modelling. Results Hepatocellular carcinoma (n = 19) occurred more frequently in older, male patients and was associated with liver cirrhosis; hypertension; diabetes; lower platelet count; higher alpha-fetoprotein, aspartate, and alanine aminotransferase; lower total cholesterol; and higher fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) (all P < 0.05). FIB-4 (hazard ratio = 1.080), male gender (hazard ratio = 8.189), and higher alpha-fetoprotein (hazard ratio = 1.060) independently predicted hepatocellular carcinoma (all P < 0.05). HCC-SVR score successfully predicted hepatocellular carcinoma development risk [area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.771, 0.857, and 0.911 at 2, 4, and 6 years, respectively]. The cumulative incidence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma differed significantly among groups stratified by HCC-SVR risk score (0–2 points, low; 3–7 points, intermediate; 8–9 points, high risk) (all P < 0.05 by log-rank test). HCC-SVR score was maintained in a validation cohort (n = 524) (AUC = 0.728 at 2 years, 0.737 at 4 years, and 0.809 at 6 years). Conclusion The HCC-SVR score enables risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma development at sustained virological response in patients with chronic hepatitis C.
Background and Aim Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the principal cause of death in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). In this study, we assessed whether liver fibrosis predicted the risk of CVD in patients with T2D. Methods A total of 1481 patients who had commenced oral antidiabetic drugs to treat newly diagnosed T2D between 2006 and 2010 were recruited. The fibrosis‐4 index (FIB‐4), non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and BARD score were used to assess fibrotic burden at the time of T2D diagnosis. Results During the follow‐up period (median 88.1 [interquartile range 36.6–113.6] months), 242 (16.3%) patients developed CVD. CVD occurred frequently in older patients and was associated with hypertension; metabolic syndrome; obesity; smoking; administration of statin, which is an antihyperlipidemic drug; lower platelet counts; lower alanine aminotransferase, total cholesterol, and HbA1c levels; higher C‐peptide and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance levels; and higher FIB‐4, NFS, and BARD score (all P < 0.05). FIB‐4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.163), NFS (HR = 1.322), BARD score (HR = 1.564), metabolic syndrome (HR = 1.556), smoking (HR = 2.829), and statin use (HR = 0.603) independently predicted the risk of CVD (all P < 0.05). The cumulative incidence of CVD was significantly different among groups stratified by liver fibrotic burden (all P < 0.05, log‐rank test). Competing risk analysis showed a significant association between the severity of liver fibrosis and CVD development (all P < 0.001, Gray's test). Conclusions The severity of liver fibrosis independently predicted CVD in patients with T2D. Thus, assessment of liver fibrosis might allow physicians to optimize the timing of appropriate cardiovascular interventions in such patients.
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