In this study, a flood damage assessment method was proposed for the assessment of flood risk in data-poor river basins by using a physical-based numerical model, satellite-based information and socio-economic factors. The Pampanga river basin of the Philippines was selected for the case study. For the flood damage assessment, hazard characteristics, such as flood depth and duration, were computed using the rainfall runoff inundation model. Agriculture and households, which are major exposures in flood-prone areas, were taken into account for the flood damage assessment. The potential damage to agriculture was estimated by using the damage functions of agriculture and flood characteristics. The damage functions of agriculture for each growing stage were defined as the function of flood depth and duration. Field investigations and questionnaire surveys were conducted at the selected barangays (villages) in the Pampanga river basin to develop a methodology for household damage estimation. The damage estimation approach for damage to household buildings including assets, was developed based on the flood and household characteristics. The potential damage to house building and assets was estimated. The estimated damage of agriculture and households was compared with the reported values.
The objective of this study was to estimate rice crop damage over the entire Cambodia during a large flood event from July to November 2011. An integrated approach was applied to detect and monitor flood areas with flood depth and duration for near real-time rice crop damage estimation in 2011 by using MODIS time-series imagery. The combined data consists of developed MLSWI, EVI from MODIS, new FID from DEM, land use, and simplified empirical damage curves. These data are expected to play an important role in emergency response efforts and rapid risk assessment for high-risk flood areas in the Cambodian floodplain. A rice crop damage map will be generated, showing areas with different damage levels based on flood duration and floodwater depth, including 25% (8 days, below 1.5 m), 50% (8 days, over 1.5 m; 16 days, below 1.5 m), and 100% (16 days, over 1.5 m). The resulting map was validated and shows about 80% consistency with the government census based on field-scale investigation and survey. Index Terms-Cambodian floodplain, damage curves, large flood, MODIS, rice crop damage.
Torrential and long-lasting rainfall often causes long-duration floods in flat and lowland areas in data-scarce Nyaungdon Area of Myanmar, imposing large threats to local people and their livelihoods. As historical hydrological observations and surveys on the impact of floods are very limited, flood hazard assessment and mapping are still lacked in this region, making it hard to design and implement effective flood protection measures. This study mainly focuses on evaluating the predicative capability of a 2D coupled hydrology-inundation model, namely the Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model, using ground observations and satellite remote sensing, and applying the RRI model to produce a flood hazard map for hazard assessment in Nyaungdon Area. Topography, land cover, and precipitation are used to drive the RRI model to simulate the spatial extent of flooding. Satellite images from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Phased Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar-2 onboard Advanced Land Observing Satellite-2 (ALOS-2 ALOS-2/PALSAR-2) are used to validate the modeled potential inundation areas. Model validation through comparisons with the streamflow observations and satellite inundation images shows that the RRI model can realistically capture the flow processes (R2 ≥ 0.87; NSE ≥ 0.60) and associated inundated areas (success index ≥ 0.66) of the historical extreme events. The resultant flood hazard map clearly highlights the areas with high levels of risks and provides a valuable tool for the design and implementation of future flood control and mitigation measures.
This study focused on flood damage assessment for future floods under the impact of climate change. Four river basins of Southeast Asia were selected for the study. They included the Pampanga River Basin (PRB) in the Philippines, the Solo River Basin (SRB) in Indonesia, the Lower Mekong River Basin (LMRB) in Cambodia and Vietnam, and the Chao Phraya River Basin (CPRB) in Thailand. Flood damage to rice crops was assessed by flood damage functions considering flood depth and duration and the growth stage of rice plants. Flood characteristics such as flood depth, duration, and distribution were computed using the rainfall-runoff-inundation model to assess flood hazards under the present and future climatic conditions produced by MRI-AGCM3.2S. The damage assessment methodology for rice crops employed in this study was verified using data on past flood events. Then, flood damage assessment was conducted for both the present climate and future climate (2075-2099) conditions, using MRI-AGCM3.2S precipitation datasets. Flood damage was assessed for worst cases chosen from each climate period and for floods of 50-and 100-year return periods with different rainfall patterns chosen from each climate scenario. The results of flood hazard and damage assessment show that the flood inundation area for a 100-year flood may increase
Abstract. In this study, we demonstrate the application of tritium in precipitation and baseflow to estimate groundwater transit times and storage volumes in Hokkaido, Japan. To establish the long-term history of tritium concentration in Japanese precipitation, we used tritium data from the global network of isotopes in precipitation and from local studies in Japan. The record developed for Tokyo area precipitation was scaled for Hokkaido using tritium values for precipitation based on wine grown at Hokkaido. Then, tritium concentrations measured with high accuracy in river water from Hokkaido, Japan, were compared to this scaled precipitation record and used to estimate groundwater mean transit times (MTTs). A total of 16 river water samples in Hokkaido were collected in June, July, and October 2014 at 12 locations with altitudes between 22 and 831 m above sea level and catchment areas between 14 and 377 km 2 . Measured tritium concentrations were between 4.07 (± 0.07) TU and 5.29 (± 0.09) TU in June, 5.06 (± 0.09) TU in July, and between 3.75 (± 0.07) TU and 4.85 (± 0.07) TU in October. We utilised TracerLPM (Jurgens et al., 2012) for MTT estimation and introduced a Visual Basic module to automatically simulate tritium concentrations and relative errors for selected ranges of MTTs, exponential-piston ratios, and scaling factors of tritium input. Using the exponential (70 %) piston flow (30 %) model (E70 %PM), we simulated unique MTTs for seven river samples collected in six Hokkaido headwater catchments because their low tritium concentrations were no longer ambiguous. These river catchments are clustered in similar hydrogeological settings of Quaternary lava as well as Tertiary propylite formations near Sapporo city. However, nine river samples from six other catchments produced up to three possible MTT values with E70 % PM due to the interference by the tritium from the atmospheric hydrogen bomb testing 5-6 decades ago. For these catchments, we show that tritium in Japanese groundwater will reach natural levels in a decade, when one tritium measurement will be sufficient to estimate a unique MTT. Using a series of tritium measurements over the next few years with 3-year intervals will enable us to estimate the correct MTT without ambiguity in this period. These unique MTTs will allow estimation of groundwater storage volumes for water resources management during droughts and improvement of numerical model simulations. For example, the groundwater storage ranges between 0.013 and 5.07 km 3 with saturated water thickness from 0.2 and 24 m. In summary, we emphasise three important points from our findings: (1) one tritium measurement is already sufficient to estimate MTTs for some Japanese catchments, (2) the hydrogeological settings control the tritium transit times of subsurface groundwater storage during baseflow, and (3) in the future, one tritium measurement will be sufficient to estimate MTTs in most Japanese watersheds.
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