Objective To predict instrumental vaginal delivery or caesarean section for suspected fetal distress or failure to progress.Design Secondary analysis of a randomised trial.Setting Three academic and six non-academic teaching hospitals in the Netherlands.Population 5667 labouring women with a singleton term pregnancy in cephalic presentation.Methods We developed multinomial prediction models to assess the risk of operative delivery using both antepartum (model 1) and antepartum plus intrapartum characteristics (model 2). The models were validated by bootstrapping techniques and adjusted for overfitting. Predictive performance was assessed by calibration and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic), and easy-to-use nomograms were developed.Main outcome measures Incidence of instrumental vaginal delivery or caesarean section for fetal distress or failure to progress with respect to a spontaneous vaginal delivery (reference).Results 375 (6.6%) and 212 (3.6%) women had an instrumental vaginal delivery or caesarean section due to fetal distress, and 433 (7.6%) and 571 (10.1%) due to failure to progress, respectively. Predictors were age, parity, previous caesarean section, diabetes, gestational age, gender, estimated birthweight (model 1) and induction of labour, oxytocin augmentation, intrapartum fever, prolonged rupture of membranes, meconium stained amniotic fluid, epidural anaesthesia, and use of STanalysis (model 2). Both models showed excellent calibration and the receiver operating characteristics areas were 0.70-0.78 and 0.73-0.81, respectively. ConclusionIn Dutch women with a singleton term pregnancy in cephalic presentation, antepartum and intrapartum characteristics can assist in the prediction of the need for an instrumental vaginal delivery or caesarean section for fetal distress or failure to progress.

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) is one of the most common causes of congenital infection without an effective treatment or an effective vaccine available to date. The emphasis has to be on preventive strategies, which rely on the epidemiological situation. The incidence of congenital CMV infections, however, is not known for The Netherlands. Therefore, a prospective virological study was carried out in a population of 7,524 pregnant women and 7,793 newborns. CMV-specific IgG antibodies were determined in cord blood by ELISA. When CMV antibodies were present, a CMV specific PCR was performed on the throat swab. A positive PCR was confirmed by urine culture. In addition, the seroepidemiology for CMV was investigated in the metropolitan region (Amsterdam and Rotterdam) which has a different ethnic composition. Congenital CMV infection was found in 7 infants (0.9 per 1,000). None had symptoms at birth or during 24 month follow-up. Carriage or CMV was 41%, with a variation between 35% and 100% depending on ethnicity. The ethnic composition in the south-eastern region was different from that in large cities, but similar to that in the rest of the country. The incidence of congenital CMV infections in The Netherlands is the lowest described to date, which does not justify special preventive policies.

In a low risk population, we could predict future growth deviations with a higher sensitivity and in a significant earlier stage (at the onset of the third trimester of pregnancy) than with the use of conventional screening methods (i.e., palpation of the uterus only and fundus-symphysis measurement). Sonographic measurement of fetal abdominal circumference enables to detect more than half of cases of SGA at birth and more than two-thirds of cases of macrosomia with acceptable false-positive rates. We suggest that fetuses with biometry results below the 25(th) percentile or above the 75(th) percentile at the onset of the third trimester of pregnancy should be more intensively investigated in order to distinguish between pathology (e.g., IUGR or macrosomia) and physiology and to decide about the appropriate level of further perinatal care.

At cesarean section, closing the subcutaneous tissue or not and using staples or intracutaneous sutures results in an equivalent long-term cosmetic appearance of the scar.

The use of MRI can be helpful in diagnosing this rare condition.