The management of island water systems in highly developed tourism destinations of developing countries presents many challenges in the face of climate change. Such systems are high levels of uncertainty and complexity driven by dynamic interactions amongst multiple climatic and non-climatic drivers with many feedbacks. Understanding complex interactions and feedbacks in the systems is, therefore, critical to develop a long-term strategy for safeguarding a growing water demand from socioeconomic development. In this study, an integrated approach was applied to improved management of scarce water resources in Cat Ba Island under high levels of climate change and socioeconomic stressors. Specifically, a range of relevant historical data was collected and examined to identify interrelations among climatic and non-climatic drivers on the island water resources. In addition, 961 households in six communes and one town in the Cat Ba Island were interviewed to understand respondents' perspectives on threats and adaptation options for the management of the island's scarce water system. Results of relevant historical data analysis and respondents' perspectives were used together with focus group discussions to develop a causal loop diagram (CLD) for the Cat Ba Island's scarce water resource system under high levels of climate change and tourism development.
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