Deciding between stimuli requires combining their learned value with one's sensory confidence. We trained mice in a visual task that probes this combination. Mouse choices reflected not only present confidence and past rewards but also past confidence. Their behavior conformed to a model that combines signal detection with reinforcement learning. In the model, the predicted value of the chosen option is the product of sensory confidence and learned value. We found precise correlates of this variable in the pre-outcome activity of midbrain dopamine neurons and of medial prefrontal cortical neurons. However, only the latter played a causal role: inactivating medial prefrontal cortex before outcome strengthened learning from the outcome. Dopamine neurons played a causal role only after outcome, when they encoded reward prediction errors graded by confidence, influencing subsequent choices. These results reveal neural signals that combine reward value with sensory confidence and guide subsequent learning.

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Making efficient decisions requires combining present sensory evidence with previous reward values, and learning from the resulting outcome. To establish the underlying neural processes, we trained mice in a task that probed such decisions. Mouse choices conformed to a reinforcement learning model that estimates predicted value (reward value times sensory confidence) and prediction error (outcome minus predicted value). Predicted value was encoded in the pre-outcome activity of prelimbic frontal neurons and midbrain dopamine neurons. Prediction error was encoded in the post-outcome activity of dopamine neurons, which reflected not only reward value but also sensory confidence. Manipulations of these signals spared ongoing choices but profoundly affected subsequent learning. Learning depended on the pre-outcome activity of prelimbic neurons, but not dopamine neurons. Learning also depended on the post-outcome activity of dopamine neurons, but not prelimbic neurons. These results reveal the distinct roles of frontal and dopamine neurons in learning under uncertainty.

Highlights d Inhibitory circuit population activity is organized on multiple spatiotemporal scales d Slow circuit-wide Golgi cell activation reflects general level of behavioral activity d Multidimensional differential population activity encodes behavioral information d Electrically coupled Golgi cell circuit model reproduces population-level properties