The proportional hazards model has been extensively used in many fields such as biomedicine to estimate and perform statistical significance testing on the effects of covariates influencing the survival time of patients. The classical theory of maximum partial-likelihood estimation (MPLE) is used by most software packages to produce inference, e.g., the coxph function in R and the PHREG procedure in SAS. In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the MPLE in the regime in which the number of parameters p is of the same order as the number of samples n. The main results are (i) existence of the MPLE undergoes a sharp 'phase transition'; (ii) the classical MPLE theory leads to invalid inference in the high-dimensional regime. We show that the asymptotic behavior of the MPLE is governed by a new asymptotic theory. These findings are further corroborated through numerical studies. The main technical tool in our proofs is the Convex Gaussian Min-max Theorem (CGMT), which has not been previously used in the analysis of partial likelihood. Our results thus extend the scope of CGMT and shed new light on the use of CGMT for examining the existence of MPLE and non-separable objective functions.
Functional principal component analysis has become the most important dimension reduction technique in functional data analysis. Based on B-spline approximation, functional principal components (FPCs) can be efficiently estimated by the expectation-maximization (EM) and the geometric restricted maximum likelihood (REML) algorithms under the strong assumption of Gaussianity on the principal component scores and observational errors. When computing the solution, the EM algorithm does not exploit the underlying geometric manifold structure, while the performance of REML is known to be unstable. In this article, we propose a conjugate gradient algorithm over the product manifold to estimate FPCs. This algorithm exploits the manifold geometry structure of the overall parameter space, thus improving its search efficiency and estimation accuracy. In addition, a distribution-free interpretation of the loss function is provided from the viewpoint of matrix Bregman divergence, which explains why the proposed method works well under general distribution settings. We also show that a roughness penalization can be easily incorporated into our algorithm with a potentially better fit. The appealing numerical
This work studies the multi-task functional linear regression models where both the covariates and the unknown regression coefficients (called slope functions) are curves. For slope function estimation, we employ penalized splines to balance bias, variance, and computational complexity. The power of multi-task learning is brought in by imposing additional structures over the slope functions. We propose a general model with double regularization over the spline coefficient matrix: i) a matrix manifold constraint, and ii) a composite penalty as a summation of quadratic terms. Many multi-task learning approaches can be treated as special cases of this proposed model, such as a reduced-rank model and a graph Laplacian regularized model. We show the composite penalty induces a specific norm, which helps to quantify the manifold curvature and determine the corresponding proper subset in the manifold tangent space. The complexity of tangent space subset is then bridged to the complexity of geodesic neighbor via generic chaining. A unified convergence upper bound is obtained and specifically applied to the reduced-rank model and the graph Laplacian regularized model. The phase transition behaviors for the estimators are examined as we vary the configurations of model parameters.
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