A new method was proposed to extract sensitive features and to construct a monitoring model for wheat scab based on in situ hyperspectral data of wheat ears to achieve effective prevention and control and provide theoretical support for its large-scale monitoring. Eight sensitive features were selected through correlation analysis and wavelet transform. These features were as follows: three original bands of 350-400 nm, 500-600 nm, and 720-1000 nm; three vegetation indices of modified simple ratio (MSR), normalized difference vegetation index, and structural independent pigment index; and two wavelet features of WF01 and WF02. By combining the selected sensitive features with support vector machine (SVM) and SVM optimized by genetic algorithm (GASVM), a total of 16 monitoring models were built, and the monitoring accuracies of the two types of models were compared. The ability of the monitoring models built by GASVM to identify scab was better than that of SVM algorithm under the same characteristic variables. Among the 16 models, MSR combined with GASVM had an overall accuracy of 75% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.47. GASVM can be used to monitor wheat scab and its application can improve the accuracy of disease monitoring.
With the development of globalization and agriculture trade, as well as its own strong migratory capacity, fall armyworm (FAW) (Spodoptera frugiperda) (J.E. Smith) has invaded more than 70 countries, posing a serious threat to the production of major crops in these areas. FAW has now also been detected in Egypt in North Africa, putting Europe, which is separated from it only by the Mediterranean Sea, at high risk of invasion. Therefore, this study integrated multiple factors of insect source, host plant, and environment to provide a risk analysis of the potential trajectories and time periods of migration of FAW into Europe in 2016~2022. First, the CLIMEX model was used to predict the annual and seasonal suitable distribution of FAW. The HYSPLIT numerical trajectory model was then used to simulate the possibility of the FAW invasion of Europe through wind-driven dispersal. The results showed that the risk of FAW invasion between years was highly consistent (P<0.001). Coastal areas were most suitable for the expansion of the FAW, and Spain and Italy had the highest risk of invasion, with 39.08% and 32.20% of effective landing points respectively. Dynamic migration prediction based on spatio-temporal data can enable early warning of FAW, which is important for joint multinational pest management and crop protection.
It is highly important to accurately monitor wheat scab and provide technical guidance for the crop pests and diseases. In this study, relevant analysis was performed among spectral reflectance, first-derivate data, and the disease severity data through ASD hyperspectral data. Two sensitive spectral wavelength ranges of 450–488 nm and 500–540 nm were selected. Then, a new wheat scab index (WSI) consisting of the two bands was proposed. The inversion models of the scab severities were comparatively built by unitary linear regression and multiple stepwise regression techniques. The results showed that the WSI had a significant linear relationship with severity of disease compared with other commonly used spectral indices. The fitting R2, testing R2, and RMSE were 0.73, 0.70, and 13.41, respectively. The multiple stepwise regression model established using the WSI, SDg/SDb, NBNDVI, and SDg as independent variables was better than the single-variable model. Our results suggest that WSI can be used to provide scientific guidance for monitoring and precise management of wheat scab disease.
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