In the framework of collective risk theory, we consider a compound Poisson risk model for the surplus process where the process (and hence ruin) can only be observed at random observation times. For Erlang(n) distributed inter-observation times, explicit expressions for the discounted penalty function at ruin are derived. The resulting model contains both the usual continuous-time and the discrete-time risk model as limiting cases, and can be used as an effective approximation scheme for the latter. Numerical examples are given that illustrate the effect of random observation times on various ruin-related quantities.
Using fluctuation theory, we solve the two-sided exit problem and identify the ruin probability for a general spectrally negative Lévy risk process with tax payments of a loss-carry-forward type. We study arbitrary moments of the discounted total amount of tax payments and determine the surplus level to start taxation which maximises the expected discounted aggregate income for the tax authority in this model. The results considerably generalise those for the Cramér-Lundberg risk model with tax.
For a spectrally one-sided Lévy process, we extend various two-sided exit identities to the situation when the process is only observed at arrival epochs of an independent Poisson process. In addition, we consider exit problems of this type for processes reflected either from above or from below. The resulting Laplace transforms of the main quantities of interest are in terms of scale functions and turn out to be simple analogues of the classical formulas.
We present a unified approach to the analysis of several popular models in collective risk theory. Based on the analysis of the discounted penalty function in a semi-Markovian risk model by means of Laplace-Stieltjes transforms, we rederive and extend some recent results in the field. In particular, the classical compound Poisson model, Sparre Andersen models with phase-type interclaim times and models with causal dependence of a certain Markovian type between claim sizes and interclaim times are contained as special cases.
We consider an insurance portfolio situation where there is possible dependence between the waiting time for a claim and its actual size. By employing the underlying random walk structure we obtain rather explicit exponential estimates for infinite and finite time ruin probabilities in the case of lighttailed claim sizes. The results are illustrated with several examples worked out for specific dependence structures.
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