Background Antimicrobial misuse is common in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), and this practice is a driver of antibiotic resistance. We compared community-based antibiotic access and use practices across communities in LMICs to identify contextually specific targets for interventions to improve antibiotic use practices. Methods We did quantitative and qualitative assessments of antibiotic access and use in six LMICs across Africa (Mozambique, Ghana, and South Africa) and Asia (Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Thailand) over a 2•5-year study period (July 1, 2016-Dec 31, 2018). We did quantitative assessments of community antibiotic access and use through supplier mapping, customer exit interviews, and household surveys. These quantitative assessments were triangulated with qualitative drug supplier and consumer interviews and discussions. Findings Vietnam and Bangladesh had the largest proportions of non-licensed antibiotic dispensing points. For mild illness, drug stores were the most common point of contact when seeking antibiotics in most countries, except South Africa and Mozambique, where public facilities were most common. Self-medication with antibiotics was found to be widespread in Vietnam (55•2% of antibiotics dispensed without prescription), Bangladesh (45•7%), and Ghana (36•1%), but less so in Mozambique (8•0%), South Africa (1•2%), and Thailand (3•9%). Self-medication was considered to be less time consuming, cheaper, and overall, more convenient than accessing them through healthcare facilities. Factors determining where treatment was sought often involved relevant policies, trust in the supplier and the drug, disease severity, and whether the antibiotic was intended for a child. Confusion regarding how to identify oral antibiotics was revealed in both Africa and Asia. Interpretation Contextual complexities and differences between countries with different incomes, policy frameworks, and cultural norms were revealed. These contextual differences render a single strategy inadequate and instead necessitate context-tailored, integrated intervention packages to improve antibiotic use in LMICs as part of global efforts to combat antibiotic resistance. Funding Wellcome Trust and Volkswagen Foundation.
Thermoresponsive statistical copolymers of N-vinylcaprolactam and N-vinylpyrrolidone of controlled average molar masses and composition were synthesized by RAFT / MADIX polymerization. The cloud point temperature was finely tuned in the range of temperature 36-70°C. DSC measurements combined with statistical calculations suggest that the whole polymer chain is involved in the hydration/dehydration process rather than short polymer sequences. At high concentration, these polymers enable the formation of thermoresponsive hydrogels. Cryo-SEM analysis of these solutions s showed the presence of globular substructures, with a looser 3-D network at higher VP content. This decrease of density of entanglements in the gel network could explain the decrease of mechanical properties and faster rehydration kinetics of the thermogelling polymer
Objectives To review community-level consumption of antibiotics in rural Vietnam, according to the WHO Access, Watch, Reserve (AWaRe) classification of 2019, and identify factors associated with the choice of these antibiotics. Methods In this cross-sectional study, data on antibiotic purchases were collected through a customer exit survey of 20 community antibiotic suppliers in Ba Vi District, Hanoi, between September 2017 and July 2018. Antibiotic consumption was estimated through the number of antibiotic encounters, the number of DDDs supplied and the number of treatment days (DOTs) with antibiotics, and analysed according to the AWaRe classification. The factors associated with watch-group antibiotic supply were identified through multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results In total, there were 1342 antibiotic encounters, with access-group antibiotics supplied in 792 encounters (59.0%), watch-group antibiotics supplied in 527 encounters (39.3%) and not-recommended antibiotics supplied in 23 encounters (1.7%). No reserve-group antibiotics were supplied. In children, the consumption of watch-group antibiotics dominated in all three measures (54.8% of encounters, 53.0% of DOTs and 53.6% of DDDs). Factors associated with a higher likelihood of watch-group antibiotic supply were: private pharmacy (OR, 4.23; 95% CI, 2.8–6.38; P < 0.001), non-prescription antibiotic sale (OR, 2.62; 95% CI, 1.78–3.87; P < 0.001) and children (OR, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.84–3.55; P < 0.001). Conclusions High consumption of watch-group antibiotics was observed, especially for use in children. The frequent supply of watch-group antibiotics at private pharmacies reconfirms the need for implementing pharmacy-targeted interventions in Vietnam.
The artificial neural network (ANN) methodology has been used in various time series prediction applications. However, the accuracy of a neural network model may be seriously compromised when it is used recursively for making long-term multi-step predictions. This study presents a method using multiple ANNs to make a long term time series prediction. A multiple neural network (MNN) model is a group of neural networks that work together to solve a problem. In the proposed MNN approach, each component neural network makes forecasts at a different length of time ahead. The MNN method was applied to the problem of forecasting an hourly customer demand for gas at a compression station in Saskatchewan, Canada. The results showed that a MNN model performed better than a single ANN model for long term prediction.
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