The 2019 novel coronavirus (renamed SARS-CoV-2, and generally referred to as the COVID-19 virus) has spread to 184 countries with over 1.5 million confirmed cases. Such major viral outbreaks demand early elucidation of taxonomic classification and origin of the virus genomic sequence, for strategic planning, containment, and treatment. This paper identifies an intrinsic COVID-19 virus genomic signature and uses it together with a machine learning-based alignment-free approach for an ultra-fast, scalable, and highly accurate classification of whole COVID-19 virus genomes. The proposed method combines supervised machine learning with digital signal processing (MLDSP) for genome analyses, augmented by a decision tree approach to the machine learning component, and a Spearman's rank correlation coefficient analysis for result validation. These tools are used to analyze a large dataset of over 5000 unique viral genomic sequences, totalling 61.8 million bp, including the 29 COVID-19 virus sequences available on January 27, 2020. Our results support a hypothesis of a bat origin and classify the COVID-19 virus as Sarbecovirus, within Betacoronavirus. Our method achieves 100% accurate classification of the COVID-19 virus sequences, and discovers the most relevant relationships among over 5000 viral genomes within a few minutes, ab initio, using raw DNA sequence data alone, and without any specialized biological knowledge, training, gene or genome annotations. This suggests that, for novel viral and pathogen genome sequences, this alignment-free whole-genome machine-learning approach can provide a reliable real-time option for taxonomic classification.

AbstractAs of February 20, 2020, the 2019 novel coronavirus (renamed to COVID-19) spread to 30 countries with 2130 deaths and more than 75500 confirmed cases. COVID-19 is being compared to the infamous SARS coronavirus, which resulted, between November 2002 and July 2003, in 8098 confirmed cases worldwide with a 9.6% death rate and 774 deaths. Though COVID-19 has a death rate of 2.8% as of 20 February, the 75752 confirmed cases in a few weeks (December 8, 2019 to February 20, 2020) are alarming, with cases likely being under-reported given the comparatively longer incubation period. Such outbreaks demand elucidation of taxonomic classification and origin of the virus genomic sequence, for strategic planning, containment, and treatment. This paper identifies an intrinsic COVID-19 genomic signature and uses it together with a machine learning-based alignment-free approach for an ultra-fast, scalable, and highly accurate classification of whole COVID-19 genomes. The proposed method combines supervised machine learning with digital signal processing for genome analyses, augmented by a decision tree approach to the machine learning component, and a Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient analysis for result validation. These tools are used to analyze a large dataset of over 5000 unique viral genomic sequences, totalling 61.8 million bp. Our results support a hypothesis of a bat origin and classify COVID-19 as Sarbecovirus, within Betacoronavirus. Our method achieves high levels of classification accuracy and discovers the most relevant relationships among over 5,000 viral genomes within a few minutes, ab initio, using raw DNA sequence data alone, and without any specialized biological knowledge, training, gene or genome annotations. This suggests that, for novel viral and pathogen genome sequences, this alignment-free whole-genome machine-learning approach can provide a reliable real-time option for taxonomic classification.

Background Although software tools abound for the comparison, analysis, identification, and classification of genomic sequences, taxonomic classification remains challenging due to the magnitude of the datasets and the intrinsic problems associated with classification. The need exists for an approach and software tool that addresses the limitations of existing alignment-based methods, as well as the challenges of recently proposed alignment-free methods. Results We propose a novel combination of supervised M achine L earning with D igital S ignal P rocessing, resulting in ML-DSP : an alignment-free software tool for ultrafast, accurate, and scalable genome classification at all taxonomic levels. We test ML-DSP by classifying 7396 full mitochondrial genomes at various taxonomic levels, from kingdom to genus, with an average classification accuracy of >97 % . A quantitative comparison with state-of-the-art classification software tools is performed, on two small benchmark datasets and one large 4322 vertebrate mtDNA genomes dataset. Our results show that ML-DSP overwhelmingly outperforms the alignment-based software MEGA7 (alignment with MUSCLE or CLUSTALW) in terms of processing time, while having comparable classification accuracies for small datasets and superior accuracies for the large dataset. Compared with the alignment-free software FFP (Feature Frequency Profile), ML-DSP has significantly better classification accuracy, and is overall faster. We also provide preliminary experiments indicating the potential of ML-DSP to be used for other datasets, by classifying 4271 complete dengue virus genomes into subtypes with 100% accuracy, and 4,710 bacterial genomes into phyla with 95.5% accuracy. Lastly, our analysis shows that the “Purine/Pyrimidine”, “Just-A” and “Real” numerical representations of DNA sequences outperform ten other such numerical representations used in the Digital Signal Processing literature for DNA classification purposes. Conclusions Due to its superior classification accuracy, speed, and scalability to large datasets, ML-DSP is highly relevant in the classification of newly discovered organisms, in distinguishing genomic signatures and identifying their mechanistic determinants, and in evaluating genome integrity.

Background: Although methods and software tools abound for the comparison, analysis, identification, and taxonomic classification of the enormous amount of genomic sequences that are continuously being produced, taxonomic classification remains challenging. The difficulty lies within both the magnitude of the dataset and the intrinsic problems associated with classification. The need exists for an approach and software tool that addresses the limitations of existing alignment-based methods, as well as the challenges of recently proposed alignment-free methods. Results: We combine supervised Machine Learning with Digital Signal Processing to design ML-DSP, an alignment-free software tool for ultrafast, accurate, and scalable genome classification at all taxonomic levels.We test ML-DSP by classifying 7,396 full mitochondrial genomes from the kingdom to genus levels, with 98% classification accuracy. Compared with the alignment-based classification tool MEGA7 (with sequences aligned with either MUSCLE, or CLUSTALW), ML-DSP has similar accuracy scores while being significantly faster on two small benchmark datasets (2,250 to 67,600 times faster for 41 mammalian mitochondrial genomes). ML-DSP also successfully scales to accurately classify a large dataset of 4,322 complete vertebrate mtDNA genomes, a task which MEGA7 with MUSCLE or CLUSTALW did not complete after several hours, and had to be terminated. ML-DSP also outperforms the alignment-free tool FFP (Feature Frequency Profiles) in terms of both accuracy and time, being three times faster for the vertebrate mtDNA genomes dataset. Conclusions: We provide empirical evidence that ML-DSP distinguishes complete genome sequences at all taxonomic levels. Ultrafast and accurate taxonomic classification of genomic sequences is predicted to be highly relevant in the classification of newly discovered organisms, in distinguishing genomic signatures, in identifying mechanistic determinants of genomic signatures, and in evaluating genome integrity.

Summary Machine Learning with Digital Signal Processing and Graphical User Interface (MLDSP-GUI) is an open-source, alignment-free, ultrafast, computationally lightweight, and standalone software tool with an interactive GUI for comparison and analysis of DNA sequences. MLDSP-GUI is a general-purpose tool that can be used for a variety of applications such as taxonomic classification, disease classification, virus subtype classification, evolutionary analyses, among others. Availability and implementation MLDSP-GUI is open-source, cross-platform compatible, and is available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). The executable and dataset files are available at https://sourceforge.net/projects/mldsp-gui/. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.