Purpose We aimed to develop and validate a radiomics model for differentiating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from focal nodular hyperplasia (FNH) in non-cirrhotic livers using Gd-DTPA contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Methods We retrospectively enrolled 149 HCC and 75 FNH patients treated between May 2015 and May 2019 at our center. Patients were randomly allocated to a training (n=156) and validation set (n=68). In total, 2260 radiomics features were extracted from the arterial phase and portal venous phase of Gd-DTPA contrast-enhanced MRI. Using Max-Relevance and Min-Redundancy, random forest, least absolute shrinkage, and selection operator algorithm for dimensionality reduction, multivariable logistic regression was used to build the radiomics model. A clinical model and combined model were also established. The diagnostic performance of the models was compared. Results Eight radiomics features were chosen for the radiomics model, and four clinical factors (age, sex, HbsAg, and enhancement pattern) were chosen for the clinical model. A combined model was built using the factors from the previous models. The classification accuracy of the combined model differentiated HCC from FNH in both the training and validation sets (0.956 and 0.941, respectively). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the combined model was significantly better than that of the clinical model for both the training (0.984 vs. 0.937, p=0.002) and validation (0.972 vs. 0.903, p=0.032) sets. Conclusions The combined model provided a non-invasive quantitative method for differentiating HCC from FNH in non-cirrhotic liver with high accuracy. Our model may assist clinicians in the clinical decision-making process.
Background and objectives Combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC) has a high incidence of early recurrence. The objective of this study is to construct a model predicting very early recurrence (VER) (i.e., recurrence within 6 months after surgery) of cHCC. Methods One hundred thirty-one consecutive patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital served as a development cohort to construct a nomogram predicting VER by using multi-variable logistic regression analysis. The model was internally and externally validated in a validation cohort of 90 patients from Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital using the C concordance statistic, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results The VER nomogram contains microvascular invasion (MiVI), macrovascular invasion (MaVI), and CA19-9 > 25 mAU/mL. The model shows good discrimination with C-indexes of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69–0.85) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66–0.86) in the development cohort and validation cohort respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model is clinically useful and the calibration of our model was favorable. Our model stratified patients into two different risk groups, which exhibited significantly different VER. Conclusions Our model demonstrated favorable performance in predicting VER in cHCC patients.
PurposeDigestive system carcinoma is one of the most devastating diseases worldwide. Lack of valid clinicopathological parameters as prognostic factors needs more accurate and effective biomarkers for high-confidence prognosis that guide decision-making for optimal treatment of digestive system carcinoma. The aim of the present study was to establish a novel model to improve prognosis prediction of digestive system carcinoma, with a particular interest in transcription factors (TFs).Materials and MethodsA TF-related prognosis model of digestive system carcinoma with data from TCGA database successively were processed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Then, for evaluating the prognostic prediction value of the model, ROC curve and survival analysis were performed by external data from GEO database. Furthermore, we verified the expression of TFs expression by qPCR in digestive system carcinoma tissue. Finally, we constructed a TF clinical characteristics nomogram to furtherly predict digestive system carcinoma patient survival probability with TCGA database.ResultsBy Cox regression analysis, a panel of 17 TFs (NFIC, YBX2, ZBTB47, ZNF367, CREB3L3, HEYL, FOXD1, TIGD1, SNAI1, HSF4, CENPA, ETS2, FOXM1, ETV4, MYBL2, FOXQ1, ZNF589) was identified to present with powerful predictive performance for overall survival of digestive system carcinoma patients based on TCGA database. A nomogram that integrates TFs was established, allowing efficient prediction of survival probabilities and displaying higher clinical utility.ConclusionThe 17-TF panel is an independent prognostic factor for digestive system carcinoma, and 17 TFs based nomogram might provide implication an effective approach for digestive system carcinoma patient management and treatment.
Purpose:This study aimed to develop and validate a radiomics model for differentiating between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and focal nodular hyperplasia (FNH) in non-cirrhotic livers using Gd-DTPA contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).Methods:We retrospectively enrolled 149 HCC patients and 75 FNH patients seen between May 2015 and May 2019 at our center and randomly allocated patients to a training set (n = 156) and a validation set (n = 68). A total of 2,260 radiomics features were extracted from the arterial phase and portal venous phase of Gd-DTPA contrast-enhanced MRI. Using Max-Relevance and Min-Redundancy, random forests, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm for dimensionality reduction, multivariable logistic regression was used to build the radiomics model. A clinical model and combined model were also established. The diagnostic performance of the three models was compared. Results:Eight radiomics features were chosen to build a radiomics model, and four clinical factors (age, sex, HbsAg, and enhancement pattern) were chosen to build the clinical model. When evaluating the performance of three models, the clinical model that included clinical data and visual MRI findings achieved excellent performance in the training set (AUC, 0.937; 95% CI, 0.887–0.970) and the validation set (AUC, 0.903; 95% CI, 0.807–0.962), and there was no significant difference between the radiomics model and the clinical model. The AUC of the combined model was significantly better than that of the clinical model for both the training (0.984 vs. 0.937, p = 0.002) and validation (0.972 vs. 0.903, p = 0.032) sets.Conclusions:The combined model based on clinical and radiomics features can well distinguish HCC from FNH in non-cirrhotic liver. Our model may assist clinicians in the clinical decision-making process.
Little is known on the relationship between the expression of pyroptosis related genes (PRGs) and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, a specific PRGs prognostic model was developed with an aim to improve therapeutic efficiency among HCC patients. In total, 42 PRGs that were differentially expressed between HCC tissues and adjacent tissues and we exhibited the mutation frequency, classification, the location of copy number variation (CNV) alteration and the CNV variation frequency of PRGs. Two clusters were distinguished by the consensus clustering analysis based on the 42 differentially expressed genes (DEGs). There were significant differences in clinical features including T stage, grade, gender, and stage among different clusters. Kaplan–Meier curve analysis showed that cluster 1 had a better prognosis than cluster 2. The prognostic value of PRGs for survival was evaluated to construct a multigene signature using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort. Based on the univariate analysis and multivariate analysis, a 10-gene signature was built and all HCC patients in the TCGA cohort were divided into low-risk group and high-risk group. HCC patients in the high-risk group showed significantly lower survival possibilities than those in the low-risk group (P < 0.001). Utilizing the median risk score from the TCGA cohort, HCC patients from International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC)-LIRI-JP cohort and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohort (GSE14520) were divided into two risk subgroups. The result showed that overall survival (OS) time was decreased in the high-risk group. Combined with the clinical characteristics, the risk score was an independent factor for predicting the OS of HCC patients. Then, ROC curve and survival analysis were performed to evaluate the prognostic prediction value of the model. Finally, we constructed a PRGs clinical characteristics nomogram to further predict HCC patient survival probability. There were significant differences in immune cell infiltration, GSEA enrichment pathway, IC50 of chemotherapeutics, PRGs mutation frequency between high-risk group and low-risk group. This work suggests PRGs signature played a crucial role in predicting the prognosis, infiltration of cancer microenvironment, and sensitivity of chemotherapeutic agents.
BackgroundInflammation has been implicated in tumorigenesis and has been reported as an important prognostic factor in cancers. In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a novel inflammation score (IFS) system based on 12 inflammatory markers and explore its impact on intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) survival after hepatectomy.MethodsClinical data of 446 ICC patients underwent surgical treatment were collected from the Primary Liver Cancer Big Data, and then served as a training cohort to establish the IFS. Furthermore, an internal validation cohort including 175 patients was used as internal validation cohort of the IFS. A survival tree analysis was used to divide ICC patients into three groups (low-, median-, and high- IFS-score groups) according to different IFS values. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were used to compare the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates among three different groups. Cox regression analyses were applied to explore the independent risk factors influencing OS and RFS.ResultsIn the training cohort, 149 patients were in the low-IFS-score group, 187 in the median-IFS-score group, and 110 in the high-IFS-score group. KM curves showed that the high-IFS-score group had worse OS and RFS rates than those of the low- and median-IFS-score groups (P<0.001) in both the training and validation cohorts. Moreover, multivariable Cox analyses identified high IFS as an independent risk factor for OS and RFS in the training cohort. The area under the curve values for OS prediction of IFS were 0.703 and 0.664 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, which were higher than those of the AJCC 7th edition TNM stage, AJCC 8th edition TNM stage, and the Child-Pugh score. ConclusionsOur results revealed IFS was an independent risk factor for OS and RFS in patients with ICC after hepatectomy and could serve as an effective prognostic prediction system in daily clinical practice.
Background Inflammation is implicated in tumorigenesis and has been reported as an important prognostic factor in cancers. In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a novel inflammation score (IFS) system based on 12 inflammatory markers and explore its impact on intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) survival after hepatectomy. Methods Clinical data of 446 ICC patients undergoing surgical treatment were collected from the Primary Liver Cancer Big Data, and then served as a training cohort to establish the IFS. Furthermore, an internal validation cohort including 175 patients was used as internal validation cohort of the IFS. A survival tree analysis was used to divide ICC patients into three groups (low-, median-, and high- IFS-score groups) according to different IFS values. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were used to compare the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates among three different groups. Cox regression analyses were applied to explore the independent risk factors influencing OS and RFS. Results In the training cohort, 149 patients were in the low-IFS-score group, 187 in the median-IFS-score group, and 110 in the high-IFS-score group. KM curves showed that the high-IFS-score group had worse OS and RFS rates than those of the low- and median-IFS-score groups (P < 0.001) in both the training and validation cohorts. Moreover, multivariable Cox analyses identified high IFS as an independent risk factor for OS and RFS in the training cohort. The area under the curve values for OS prediction of IFS were 0.703 and 0.664 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, which were higher than those of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th edition TNM stage, AJCC 8th edition TNM stage, and the Child-Pugh score. Conclusion Our results revealed the IFS was an independent risk factor for OS and RFS in patients with ICC after hepatectomy and could serve as an effective prognostic prediction system in daily clinical practice.
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