Extreme value of vehicle load plays an important role in bridge design and risk assessment. Peaks over threshold (POT) is a method commonly used in extreme load estimation. The selection of thresholds for the POT method is extremely crucial, but the selected optimal threshold varies under different test criteria. Therefore, a method to select the suitable threshold is developed based on multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) in the paper. In MCDA, Chi-Square (χ2) test, Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K–S) test, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) in probability distribution functions (PDF) are employed as the test criteria and the weight of these criteria is calculated using the entropy method. Finally, vehicle loads obtained from simulation and field measurement are adopted to validate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method. The results indicate that the proposed MCDA is a useful and complementary tool for threshold selection in the extreme value analysis.
e Bohai Sea is the sea area with the worst ice condition in China, and the ice loads significantly threaten the safety of structures in the sea. e intense vibrations of the pile-supported bridge under stochastic ice loads will increase the fatigue damage of a bridge structure and reduce the fatigue life of a bridge structure. In the present study, a comprehensive analysis model is presented to study fatigue damage for pile-supported bridges under ice loads in Bohai Sea. On the basis of measured statistical data of ice parameters and stochastic ice loads spectrum of Bohai Sea, the time histories of the stochastic ice loads of Bohai Sea are simulated. Fatigue damage analysis is carried out in time domain utilizing the finite element method considering soil and bridge structure interaction. e effect of soil conditions and water depth on the cumulative fatigue damage of the pile-supported bridges is studied. Numerical results indicate that in comparison with stiff soil conditions, pile-supported bridges in soft oil conditions can increase the cumulative fatigue damage substantially; pile-supported bridges in deep water also can increase the cumulative fatigue damage obviously. e study presented the first danger position of cumulative damage of the pile cross section under stochastic ice loads. e findings of this study can be used to fatigue damage evaluation and bridge construction in the ice-covered sea area.
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