Purpose: To report the distant metastasis (DM) risk and patterns for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and to analyze the benefits of chemotherapy based on DM risk.Materials and Methods: 576 NPC patients were analyzed. The DM rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to compare differences. The patients were divided into different risk subclassifications according to DM hazard ratios.Results: 91 patients developed DM after treatment, with bone as the most common metastatic sites. 82.4% of DMs occurred within 3 years of treatment. Patients were classified as low-risk, intermediate-risk and high-risk, and the corresponding 5-year DM rates were 5.1%, 13.1% and 32.4%, respectively (P < 0.001). Chemotherapy failed to decrease the DM rate in the low-risk subclassification, but decreased the DM risk in the intermediate-risk subclassification (P = 0.025). In the high-risk subclassificaiton, the DM rate was 31.9% though chemotherapy was used, which was significantly higher than that of other two subclassifications.Conclusions: DM is the dominant treatment failure in NPC treated by IMRT, with similar occurrence times and distributions to those that occurred in the era of conventional radiotherapy. Further studies on treatment optimization are needed in high-risk patients.

The objective of this study is to identify the risk factors and construct a prediction-score model for distant metastasis (DM) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). A total of 520 nonmetastatic NPC patients were analysed retrospectively. The independent risk factors for DM were tested by multivariate Cox regression analysis. The prediction-score model was established according to the regression coefficient. The median follow-up was 88.4 months. The 5-year DM rate was 15.1%. N2-3, primary tumour volume of nasopharynx (GTVnx) >24.56 cm(3), haemoglobin change after treatment (ΔHGB) >25.8 g/L, albumin-globulin ratio (AGR) ≤1.34, pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) >2.81 and pretreatment serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) >245 U/L were significantly adverse independent predictive factors for DM. Three subgroups were defined based on the prediction-score model: low risk (0-2), intermediate risk (3-4) and high risk (5-8). The 5-year DM rates were 4.6, 21.8 and 50.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). The areas under the curve for DM in the prediction-score model and the UICC/AJCC staging system seventh edition were 0.748 and 0.627, respectively (P < 0.001). The scoring model is useful in evaluating the risk of DM in IMRT-treated NPC patients and guiding future therapeutic trials. Further prospective study is needed.

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