A hallmark pathological feature of neurodegenerative diseases amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) is the depletion of RNA-binding protein TDP-43 from the nucleus of neurons in the brain and spinal cord. A major function of TDP-43 is as a repressor of cryptic exon inclusion during RNA splicing. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in UNC13A are among the strongest genome-wide association study (GWAS) hits associated with FTD/ALS in humans, but how those variants increase risk for disease is unknown. Here we show that TDP-43 represses a cryptic exon splicing event in UNC13A. Loss of TDP-43 from the nucleus in human brain, neuronal cell lines, and iPSC-derived motor neurons resulted in the inclusion of a cryptic exon in UNC13A mRNA and reduced UNC13A protein expression. Remarkably, the top variants associated with FTD/ALS risk in humans are located in the cryptic exon harboring intron itself and we show that they increase UNC13A cryptic exon splicing in the face of TDP-43 dysfunction. Together, our data provide a direct functional link between one of the strongest genetic risk factors for FTD/ALS (UNC13A genetic variants) and loss of TDP-43 function.

A variety of approaches have been proposed to provide formal and informal validation of proposed surrogate markers. To achieve true clinical impact, the validation must convince both the statistical and clinical communities. In this paper, we argue that the best approach is not a single method but a multi-faceted exploration, using multiple approaches, including those that directly appeal to clinicians but with less statistical foundation and those arising from statistical considerations but more difficult to interpret clinically. We illustrate our approach using data from clinical trials in both early and advanced colorectal cancer.

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