The natural course of idiopathic membranous nephropathy is variable, with some patients slowly progressing to renal failure while others maintain normal renal function over the entire time. Whether to treat this disease or not is controversial due to the lack of controlled data about the long-term effects of treatment. We updated at 10 years the results of a controlled trial in which 81 patients with idiopathic membraneous nephropathy and nephrotic syndrome were randomly assigned to receive symptomatic therapy (39 patients) or a treatment of six months with methylprednisolone and chlorambucil (42 patients). The probability of surviving without developing end-stage renal disease at 10 years was 92% in patients given methylprednisolone and chlorambucil versus 60% in controls (P = 0.0038). The slope of the reciprocal of plasma creatinine up to 10 years was significantly better in treated patients than in controls (P = 0.035). The probability of having a complete or partial remission of the nephrotic syndrome was significantly higher in treated patients (P = 0.000). Patients assigned to therapy spent significantly longer time without nephrotic syndrome than untreated patients (P = 0.0001). Four patients had to stop treatment because of reversible side-effects. In the long-term one treated patient developed diabetes and another one became obese. In conclusion, a six-month therapy with methylprednisolone and chlorambucil increases the probability of remission of proteinuria and protects from renal function deterioration even in the long-term. This treatment may avoid dialysis or death within 10 years to about one third of nephrotic patients with membranous nephropathy.
We retrospectively analyzed the courses of 70 patients with lupus nephritis followed for 5 to 30 years (median 127 months). Patients survival was 100% at 10 years and 86% at 20 years. The probability of not reaching the end point (persistent doubling of plasma creatinine) was 85% at 10 years and 72% at 20 years. A multivariate analysis of variables at presentation showed that male sex (P = 0.005) and hematocrit lower than 36% (P = 0.01) were associated with the end point (relative risk 7.5 and 14). We then analyzed for the role of renal flare-ups, defined either as a rapid increase in plasma creatinine or by an increase in proteinuria. Patients with renal flares of any type had more probabilities of reaching the end point than patients who never had flares (P = 0.03; relative risk 6.8). The hazard of the end point was 27 times higher in patients with flares along with rapid increased in plasma creatinine than in patients without flares or with flares with proteinuria alone (P < 0.00001). This hazard was higher when plasma creatinine did not return to the basal levels within two months after treatment (P < 0.00001).
Histologic grading systems are used to guide diagnosis, therapy, and audit on an international basis. The reproducibility of grading systems is usually tested within small groups of pathologists who have previously worked or trained together. This may underestimate the international variation of scoring systems. We therefore evaluated the reproducibility of an established system, the Banff classification of renal allograft pathology, throughout Europe. We also sought to improve reproducibility by providing individual feedback after each of 14 small groups of cases. Kappa values for all features studied were lower than any previously published, confirming that international variation is greater than interobserver variation as previously assessed. A prolonged attempt to improve reproducibility, using numeric or graphical feedback, failed to produce any detectable improvement. We then asked participants to grade selected photographs, to eliminate variation induced by pathologists viewing different areas of the slide. This produced improved kappa values only for some features. Improvement was influenced by the nature of the grade definitions. Definitions based on "area affected" by a process were not improved. The results indicate the danger of basing decisions on grading systems that may be applied very differently in different institutions.
We report the clinical outcome of 105 essential mixed cryoglobulinemia (EMC) patients with renal involvement collected throughout 25 years in three renal Units of Milan. The median follow-up was 72 months since renal biopsy and 131 months since the clinical onset of EMC. Patient survival was 49% at 10 years after renal biopsy. Forty-two patients died primarily from cardiovascular and liver disease or infection, whereas 15 patients developed chronic renal failure. Two patients had a complete remission of the disease while 15 had a remission only of renal signs. Thirty-one patients are alive with persistent renal and extrarenal manifestations. Anti-HCV antibodies were retrospectively detected in 34 patients and were present in 85% of them. This variable was not included in the statistical evaluation. At multivariate analysis, age older than 50 years, purpura, splenomegaly, cryocrit levels higher than 10%, C3 plasma levels lower than 54 mg/dl, and serum creatinine higher than 1.5 mg/dl were independent risk factors for death or dialysis. In conclusion, several factors may influence the outcome of patients with EMC nephritis. Markers of disease activity and an impaired renal function can herald a bad prognosis. It should be stressed, however, that only a minority of patients eventually develop renal failure, probably because in the most severe cases patients die earlier.
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