Climate change and disturbance regimes will alter the forest protective function against shallow landslides. • Climate change generally increased landslide risk in our simulations. • Only when future warming coincided with drying, the landslide risk decreased. • The adaptation of tree species to future climate change conditions has a direct effect on the stability of forested slopes. • Canopy disturbances reduce the risk of landslides, outweighing possible negative effects on the water cycle.
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