Prediction of death and hospitalization in older community-dwelling people can be easily obtained with two indexes using information promptly available to PCPs. These tools might be useful for guiding clinical care and targeting interventions to reduce the need for hospital care in older persons.

Background: In developing countries, user fees may represent an important source of revenues for private-non-for-profit hospitals, but they may also affect access, use and equity.

'Verticalization' of health care delivery, in one form or another, is the common theme pervading the history of international health policy over the last sixty years. It is often accompanied by radical policies of privatization of health services, everywhere resulting in people being forced to pay for all services. The failure of the vertical approach, of which the global public-private partnership initiatives are a modernized version, has been well recognized and its reasons are clear: actions on the distal determinants of disease (income, education, housing, the environment and infrastructure, etc) are overlooked; distribution of services dedicated to specific diseases and interventions (such as AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis, etc.) are artificially and temporarily reinforced, creating absurd and harmful forms of competition between services and making even more precarious and inefficient the work of already fragile basic health systems. This article describes the role played in this disturbing historical development by the prevailing economic ideology and its operational arm, the World Bank, with the view to reclaim international policy making processes and actors that really respond to people's health needs.

Aims-To characterize the epidemiology of disability in, and the level of care available to, older community-dwellers in an Italian urban sample.Methods-In a 2-phase survey, persons aged 65+ years, randomly selected from the patients lists of 98 primary care physicians (PCP), were screened (phase I) by their PCP with a structured questionnaire to detect the presence of: 1) need of help in performing Basic and 2) Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (BADL, IADL); 3) poor vision or 4) hearing; 5) weight loss; 6) use of homecare services; 7) self-perceived inadequacy of income. Subjects reporting 2+ problems were further evaluated in face-to-face structured interviews (phase II).Results-Of 5445 participants, 597 (11%) screened positive in phase I and 416 were interviewed in phase II. Of these, 4, 29, 19 and 49% were disabled in 1-2 IADL, 3+ IADL, 1-2 BADL, and 3+ BADL. The extent of the support network increased with disability severity (p<0.01). The 274 participants with BADL disability received most of their help from close relatives (58.3±2.5%), followed by salaried assistants (20.5±2.1%), other relatives (19.5±1.9%), and public healthcare services (0.6±0.36%). Of the 397 care-givers interviewed, one-third were willing to institutionalize the older participants in case of further functional deterioration. This propensity was predicted only by a self-reported poor attitude towards caring.Conclusion-Many severely disabled older Italians receive care in their home by highly supportive family members. The level of assistance provided to them by public healthcare services is minimal.

Influenza vaccination was shown to be successful in reducing hospital admissions due to pneumonia and influenza. A large number of hospitalizations could be reduced extending the vaccination campaign.

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