No abstract

Anticentromere antibody (ACA) was found in the serum of 4 (3%) of 120 patients with progressive systemic sclerosis with diffuse scleroderma and in 69 (49%) of 141 with progressive systemic sclerosis with the CREST syndrome variant. The 69 CREST syndrome patients with ACA were compared with the 72 CREST syndrome patients without ACA. The former were older at the onset of symptoms and significantly more frequently female (97% versus 78%, P < 0.01). Those with ACA more often had telangiectasiae of the digits (93% versus 75%) and calcinosis (55% versus 22%). These differences were also present after the groups were stratified according to duration of disease. Cutaneous involvement was similar in both degree and extent in the 2 groups; 20% of CREST patients both with and without ACA had forearm skin thickening. Pulmonary interstitial fibrosis on chest roentgenogram and restrictive disease on pulmonary function testing were significantly less frequent in the ACA patients. Gastrointestinal involvement, pulmonary arterial hypertension, and cardiac abnormalities were similar in both groups, and -

Eighty-seven patients diagnosed as having primary Raynaud's phenomenon (Raynaud's disease) were reexamined after this symptom had been present for a mean of 8.8 years (range 2.0-34.5). One or more additional clinical feature(s) suggesting an underlying connective tissue disease were found in 12 patients (14%) at first evaluation, and in 23 (26%) by the last evaluation. The most frequent findings were puffy fingers (10 patients), digital tip pitting scars (8 patients), and digital tip ulcerations (6 patients). Distal esophageal hypomotility and/or decreased pulmonary diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide were found in 12 patients. Only 4 individuals ( 5 % ) developed clear evidence of a connective tissue disease, and in all cases, the diagnosis was the CREST (calcinosis, Raynaud's phenomenon, esophageal dysmotility, sclerodactyly, telangiectasias) syndrome variant of systemic sclerosis. This condition became obvious 8-17 years after the onset of Raynaud's phenomenon. One or more serologic test values were initially abnormal in 2 of these CREST syndrome patients;, as well as in 12 patients who continued to have

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Economic predictions often hinge on two intuitive premises: agents rule out the possibility of others choosing unreasonable strategies ('strategic reasoning'), and prefer strategies that hedge against unexpected behavior ('cautiousness'). These two premises conflict and this undermines the compatibility of usual economic predictions with reasoning-based foundations. This paper proposes a new take on this classical tension by interpreting cautiousness as robustness to ambiguity. We formalize this via a model of incomplete preferences, where (i) each player's strategic uncertainty is represented by a possibly non-singleton set of beliefs and (ii) a rational player chooses a strategy that is a best-reply to every belief in this set. We show that the interplay between these two features precludes the conflict between strategic reasoning and cautiousness and therefore solves the inclusion-exclusion problem raised by Samuelson (1992). Notably, our approach provides a simple foundation for the iterated elimination of weakly dominated strategies.