SummaryBackgroundA third of transient ischaemic attacks (TIAs) and ischaemic strokes are of undetermined cause (ie, cryptogenic), potentially undermining secondary prevention. If these events are due to occult atheroma, the risk-factor profile and coronary prognosis should resemble that of overt large artery events. If they have a cardioembolic cause, the risk of future cardioembolic events should be increased. We aimed to assess the burden, outcome, risk factors, and long-term prognosis of cryptogenic TIA and stroke.MethodsIn a population-based study in Oxfordshire, UK, among patients with a first TIA or ischaemic stroke from April 1, 2002, to March 31, 2014, we compared cryptogenic events versus other causative subtypes according to the TOAST classification. We compared markers of atherosclerosis (ie, risk factors, coronary and peripheral arterial disease, asymptomatic carotid stenosis, and 10-year risk of acute coronary events) and of cardioembolism (ie, risk of cardioembolic stroke, systemic emboli, and new atrial fibrillation [AF] during follow-up, and minor-risk echocardiographic abnormalities and subclinical paroxysmal AF at baseline in patients with index events between 2010 and 2014).FindingsAmong 2555 patients, 812 (32%) had cryptogenic events (incidence of cryptogenic stroke 0·36 per 1000 population per year, 95% CI 0·23–0·49). Death or dependency at 6 months was similar after cryptogenic stroke compared with non-cardioembolic stroke (23% vs 27% for large artery and small vessel subtypes combined; p=0·26) as was the 10-year risk of recurrence (32% vs 27%; p=0·91). However, the cryptogenic group had fewer atherosclerotic risk factors than the large artery disease (p<0·0001), small vessel disease (p=0·001), and cardioembolic (p=0·008) groups. Compared with patients with large artery events, those with cryptogenic events had less hypertension (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0·41, 95% CI 0·30–0·56; p<0·0001), diabetes (0·62, 0·43–0·90; p=0·01), peripheral vascular disease (0·27, 0·17–0·45; p<0·0001), hypercholesterolaemia (0·53, 0·40–0·70; p<0·0001), and history of smoking (0·68, 0·51–0·92; p=0·01), and compared with small vessel and cardioembolic subtypes, they had no excess risk of asymptomatic carotid disease (adjusted OR 0·64, 95% CI 0·37–1·11; p=0·11) or acute coronary events (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·76, 95% CI 0·49–1·18; p=0·22) during follow-up. Compared with large artery and small vessel subtypes combined, patients with cryptogenic events also had no excess of minor-risk echocardiographic abnormalities (cryptogenic 37% vs 45%; p=0·18) or paroxysmal AF (6% vs 10%; p=0·17) at baseline or of new AF (adjusted HR 1·23, 0·78–1·95; p=0·37) or presumed cardioembolic events (1·16, 0·62–2·17; p=0·64) during follow-up.InterpretationThe clinical burden of cryptogenic TIA and stroke is substantial. Although stroke recurrence rates are comparable with other subtypes, cryptogenic events have the fewest atherosclerotic markers and no excess of cardioembolic markers.FundingWellcome Trust, Wolfson Foundation, UK Stro...
Background-Prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is >10% at age ≥80 years, but the impact of population aging on rates of AF-related ischemic events is uncertain. Methods and Results-We studied age-specific incidence, outcome, and cost of all AF-related incident strokes and systemic emboli from 2002 to 2012 in the Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC). We determined time trends in incidence of AF-related stroke in comparison with a sister study in 1981 to 1986, extrapolated numbers to the UK population and projected future numbers. Of 3096 acute cerebral or peripheral vascular events in the 92 728 study population, 383 incident ischemic strokes and 71 systemic emboli were related to AF, of which 272 (59.9%) occurred at ≥80 years. Of 597 fatal or disabling incident ischemic strokes, 262 (43.9%) were AF-related. Numbers of AF-related ischemic strokes at age ≥80 years increased nearly 3-fold from 1981-1986 to 2002-2012 (extrapolated to the United Kingdom: 6621 to 18 176 per year), due partly to increased age-specific incidence (relative rate 1.52, 95% confidence interval 1.31-1.77, P=0.001), with potentially preventable AF-related events at age ≥80 years costing the United Kingdom £374 million per year. At current incidence rates, numbers of AF-related embolic events at age ≥80 years will treble again by 2050 (72 974/year), with 83.5% of all events occurring in this age group. Conclusions-Numbers of AF-related incident ischemic strokes at age ≥80 years have trebled over the last 25 years, despite the introduction of anticoagulants, and are projected to treble again by 2050, along with the numbers of systemic emboli. Improved prevention in older people with AF should be a major public health priority. Yiin et al Burden of AF-Related Embolic Vascular Events 1237ischemic strokes tend to be severe and to incur high mean costs, 4 and noncerebral systemic embolism secondary to AF is also a major clinical burden. 5,6 With 2.3 million people estimated to have AF in the United States, 7 with prevalence increasing from 0.5% at 50 to 59 years to 10% at ≥80 years, and with age-specific prevalence possibly also increasing, [7][8][9] the burden and cost of AF-related stroke and systemic embolism could increase dramatically. However, anticoagulation with warfarin is highly effective in primary prevention of AF-related embolic events, 10,11 and several new oral anticoagulants may be of at least equivalent clinical benefit, 12 albeit with some disadvantages.13,14 Yet, there is widespread underuse of warfarin for AF, [15][16][17] particularly in the elderly. [18][19][20] Although there are few published data on the safety of newer anticoagulants at age ≥80 years, 12,21 there is good evidence that warfarin is more effective than aspirin in primary prevention in high-risk elderly patients with AF. 22 We could therefore be facing a substantial increase in potentially preventable AF-related embolic events at older ages because of the multiplicative effects of increased life expectancy, the strongly age-related prevalence of AF with no...
Although annual post acute phase hospital and primary health-care costs in stroke patients with prior atrial fibrillation were not significantly different to those incurred before the stroke, long-term nursing/residential care costs were substantial.
BackgroundPrevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasing, due partly to the ageing population. The Birmingham Atrial Fibrillation Treatment of the Aged (BAFTA) Trial, published in 2007, provided strong evidence of the effectiveness of warfarin at age≥80 years, but the impact on incidence of AF-related stroke and peripheral embolic vascular events is uncertain.MethodsWe studied age-specific incidence and outcome of all AF-related incident strokes and systemic emboli from 2002 to 2012 in the Oxford Vascular Study.ResultsOf 3096 acute cerebral or peripheral vascular events, 748 (24.2%) were AF-related. Of the 597 disabling/fatal incident ischaemic strokes, 369 occurred at age ≥80 years, of which 124 (33.6%) were in non-anticoagulated patients with known prior AF. There was no reduction in incident AF-related events after 2007 at all ages (n=231 vs 211; adjusted RR=1.11, 0.91 to 1.36, p=0.29) or at age ≥80 (137 vs 135, RR=1.15, 0.94 to 1.40, p=0.17). Scope for improved prevention at older ages was considerable. Among 208 patients with incident AF-related events at age ≥80 and known prior AF, only 19 (9.1%) were anticoagulated. Of the 189 patients not anticoagulated, 166 (87.8%) had no major disability prior to the event and 167 (88·4%) had a high embolism risk score, of whom 139 (83.2%) were also at low risk of complications. Yet, 125/167 (74.9%) were dead or institutionalised after the event. Potentially preventable embolic events outnumbered warfarin-related intracerebral haemorrhages by about 15-fold (280 vs 19), rising to 50-fold (189 vs 4) at age ≥80 years.ConclusionsWe found no reduction in incidence of AF-related vascular events since publication of the BAFTA trial. A third of all disabling/fatal strokes occur in non-anticoagulated patients with known prior AF.
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Giant cell arteritis (GCA) is an important condition to suspect and treat early, as failure to do so can result in anterior ischaemic optic neuropathy and subsequent permanent visual loss. A 71-year-old woman presented to her local emergency department with a 1-week history of constant, moderatesevere global headache associated with intermittent periorbital pain. Two weeks later she developed sudden horizontal diplopia. Examination demonstrated right oculomotor nerve palsy. Her erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) was 9 mm/hr. Repeat blood tests 1 month later showed an ESR of 67 mm/hr. Temporal artery biopsy was positive. A review from a cohort of 764 patients with suspected GCA who underwent biopsy found the sensitivity of an elevated ESR and C-reactive protein was 84% and 86%, respectively, but the specifi city was only 30%. Therefore, infl ammatory markers should only act as a guide, and caution should be taken in their interpretation especially with respect to the time of sampling in the disease evolution. Isolated oculomotor nerve palsy in association with GCA is rare. The fi rst case series was described by Miller Fisher in 1959 who observed two patients presenting with diplopia, ptosis and ocular palsies. In anyone over the age of 50 who develops a new, refractory headache and cranial neuropathy, GCA should be the fi rst consideration.
Background Prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasing and now affects over 10% of individuals aged ≥80 years. Warfarin is effective in preventing thromboembolic events, but is substantially under-used in the elderly, and use of new anticoagulants at age ≥80 years is also limited. We determined the incidence and outcome of AF-related thromboembolic events at all ages in a population-based study and projected future event rates. Methods We studied age-specific incidence and outcome of all AF-related incident strokes and systemic emboli from
Hyperosmolar hyperglycaemic state (HHS) is a life-threatening metabolic complication of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) that often presents with neurological symptoms. A 74-year-old man with known T2DM presented to the emergency department with collapse, left-sided weakness and slurred speech (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) 3) and a biochemical profile consistent with HHS. When he further deteriorated (NIHSS 20), he was managed for concurrent ischaemic stroke. All his symptoms fully resolved after 24 hours, which coincided with establishment of normoglycaemia. Subsequent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the head revealed a tiny parietal lobe infarct. Two further cases of HHS mimicking ischaemic stroke have been reported with symptoms and imaging findings resolving with treatment of HHS. Our case demonstrates how HHS can also accentuate symptoms of a minor stroke, highlighting the importance of excluding ischaemic stroke in HHS patients with neurological dysfunction. We recommend consideration of early MRI and/or computed tomography angiography in this cohort, especially in those appropriate for intervention.
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