as the best risk predictor of the first variceal bleeding in The aim of this study was to prospectively evaluate the patients with cirrhosis and esophageal varices, and has been usefulness of the Italian Liver Cirrhosis Project (ILCP) validated by independent groups. 9,10 However, its prognostic classification of esophageal varices, together with the efficiency is far from optimal. 11 Studies are in progress in the gastric features of portal hypertension, in predicting the attempt to improve the accuracy of this index in predicting first upper gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhosis. The aim of this study was to evaluate prospectively the were graded as absent or present, while congestive gasusefulness of the ILCP classification, together with the gastropathy was considered as absent, mild to moderate, or tric signs of portal hypertension, in predicting the first upper severe. All patients were followed until the first upper gastrointestinal bleeding in cirrhotic patients who had not gastrointestinal bleeding and/or death, or for at least 24 received any treatment for esophageal varices. In the same months. No patient received any treatment to prevent group of patients, the efficiency of a new prognostic index bleeding. Sixty-five patients bled from the upper gastro-(PI) in predicting bleeding was also compared with that of intestinal tract during the study. Univariate analysis the NIEC index. tients with hepatocellular carcinoma, detected by ultrasonography and/or raised a-fetoprotein (more than 10 times the upper normal limit), were excluded. Three hundred forty-four patients were enBleeding from esophageal varices is one of the most severe rolled.complications of cirrhosis because it is burdened by a high All patients gave their informed consent to participate in the chance of death.1-4 For this reason, many trials have been study, which was performed according to the Helsinki Declaration.performed to evaluate medical, endoscopic, or surgical proce-The protocol of the study was approved by the Senior Staff Commitdures to prevent bleeding in cirrhotic patients.tee.An association between the endoscopic appearance of variTwo hundred seventeen patients were men and 127 were women.ces and the risk of bleeding was first reported by Beppu et Supported by a grant from the Ministero dell'Università e della Ricerca Scientifica eThe following six parameters were considered in the ILCP classifiTecnologica (MURST), Rome, Italy, Fondi 40%.cation: location, size, occupancy, blue tone, blue extension, and redAddress reprint requests to: