The survival rate of patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is significantly better in patients diagnosed and treated when the tumor is limited to the thyroid. In a pioneer study carried out in 1991, we demonstrated that routine measurement of serum calcitonin (CT) in nodular thyroid disease allowed the preoperative diagnosis of unsuspected sporadic MTC with better accuracy than routine fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC). This finding has been confirmed in subsequent studies. In the present study we report the results of CT screening in 10,864 patients with thyroid nodular disease seen in the years 1991-1998 (group 1). We analyzed the prevalence of MTC and compared their outcomes with those of a historical group of patients (group 2) diagnosed before the introduction of CT screening (1970-1990). The prevalence of MTC found by CT screening in group 1 was 0.40% (44 patients). A positive CT test had a higher diagnostic sensitivity and specificity compared with FNAC. CT screening allowed the diagnosis of MTC at an earlier stage compared with group 2 (P = 0.004). Normalization of serum CT levels (undetectable) after surgery was more frequently observed in group 1. At the end of follow-up, complete remission was observed in 59% of group 1 and in 2.7% of group 2 (P = 0.0001). Our study confirms that MTC is not an infrequent finding among patients with thyroid nodules (nearly 1 in 250 patients). In addition, screening thyroid nodules with serum CT measurement allows the diagnosis and treatment of MTC at an earlier stage, resulting in a better outcome compared with MTC not detected by serum CT measurement. One of the reasons for this finding is that increasing the preoperative diagnostic accuracy of MTC prompts the surgeon to perform a more radical and possibly curative treatment. On this basis, routine measurement of basal serum CT levels should be considered an integral part of the diagnostic evaluation of thyroid nodules.

Higher TSH values, even within normal ranges, have been associated with a greater risk of thyroid malignancy. The relationship between TSH and papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) has been analyzed in 10 178 patients submitted to fine needle aspiration of thyroid nodules with a cytology of PTC (nZ497) or benign thyroid nodular disease (BTND, nZ9681). In 942 patients, submitted to surgery (521 from BTND and 421 from PTC), the histological diagnosis confirmed an elevated specificity (99.6%) and sensitivity (98.1%) of cytology. TSH levels were significantly higher in PTC than in BTND both in the cytological and histological series and also in patients with a clinical diagnosis of multinodular goiter (MNG) and single/isolate nodule (S/I). A significant agedependent development of thyroid autonomy (TSH !0.4 mU/ml) was observed in patients with benign thyroid disease, but not in those with PTC, diagnosed both on cytology and histology. In patients with MNG, the frequency of thyroid autonomy was higher and the risk of PTC was lower compared to those with S/I. In all patients, the presence of thyroid auto-antibodies (TAb) was associated with a significant increase of TSH. However, both in TAb positive and TAb negative patients TSH levels were significantly higher in PTC than in BTND. Our data confirm a direct relationship between TSH levels and risk of PTC in patients with nodular thyroid diseases. Thyroid autonomy conceivably protects against the risk of PTC, while thyroid autoimmunity does not play a significant role.

USE may represent an important tool for the diagnosis of thyroid cancer in nodules with indeterminate or nondiagnostic cytology and may prove useful in selecting patients who are candidates for surgery.

Twenty-five per cent of patients with a cytological result of follicular and Hupsilonrthle cell thyroid lesion had a final diagnosis of malignancy. Only atypia at cytology and spot microcalcifications at thyroid ultrasound were significantly associated with malignancy. Other clinical parameters and thyroid ultrasound patterns can be used to set up a clinical score useful for predicting the individual risk of malignancy before surgery.

DTC patients diagnosed after 1990 have smaller tumors with less advanced stage and a better prognosis. The question of whether this is related to the finding of tumors with a low clinical penetrance or to the anticipation of diagnosis remains to be clarified. Despite these significant differences, both advanced stage and older age still represent the most important poor prognostic factors for survival.