Seaweed aquaculture produces enormous economic and ecological service benefits, making significant contributions to achieving global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, large-scale development of seaweed aquaculture and the unreasonable use of aquaculture rafts may trigger green tide, bringing negative ecological, social, and economic impacts. Therefore, it is vital to monitor the seaweed aquaculture industry accurately. Here, we mapped 10-m-resolution seaweed aquaculture along the Jiangsu coast of China based on active and passive remote sensing (Sentinel-1/2) and Random Forest using Google Earth Engine. The results demonstrate satisfactory model performance and data accuracy. The square seaweed aquaculture in the Lianyungang Offshore (Mode-I) has gradually expanded to the deep sea since 2016, with a maximum area of 194.06 km2 in 2018. Between 2021 and 2022, the area of the strip-shaped seaweed aquaculture in Subei radiation shoals (Mode-II) was considerably reduced, with most of the reduced land lying on the east side of the Dafeng Elk National Nature Reserve. In general, the area of the seaweed aquaculture in the prohibited breeding area was reduced from 20.32 km2 to 3.13 km2, and the area of the seaweed aquaculture in the restricted breeding area was reduced from 149.71 km2 to 33.15 km2. Results show that under the policy restriction, the scale of unsustainable seaweed aquaculture along the Jiangsu coast has been greatly reduced within seven years. This study can provide an efficient approach for the medium-scale extraction of seaweed aquaculture and provide decision support for the sustainable development of marine aquaculture.
Abstract. Massive floating macroalgal blooms in the ocean have had an array of ecological consequences; thus, tracking their drifting pattern and predicting their biomass are important for their effective management. However, a high-resolution ecological dynamics model is lacking. In this study, a physical–ecological model, Floating Macroalgal Growth and Drift Model (FMGDM v1.0), was developed to determine the dynamic growth and drift pattern of floating macroalgal, based on the tracking, replication and extinction of Lagrangian particles. The position, velocity, quantity and represented biomass of particles are updated synchronously between the tracking module and the ecological module. The former is driven by ocean flows and sea surface wind, while the latter is controlled by the temperature, salinity, and irradiation. Based on the hydrodynamic models of the Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model and parameterized using a culture experiment of Ulva prolifera, which caused the largest bloom worldwide of the green tide in the Yellow Sea, China, this model was applied to simulate the green tides around the Yellow Sea in 2014 and 2015. The simulation result, distribution and biomass of green tides, was validated using remote sensing observation data and reasonably modeled the entire process of green tide bloom and its extinction from early spring to late summer. Given the prescribed spatial initialization from remote sensing observation, the model could provide accurate short-term (7–8 d) predictions of the spatial and temporal developments of the green tide. With the support of the hydrodynamic model and biological data of macroalgae, this model can forecast floating macroalgae blooms in other regions.
Abstract. Massive floating macroalgal blooms in the ocean result in many ecological consequences. Tracking their drifting pattern and predicting their biomass are essential for effective marine management. In this study, a physical–ecological model, the Floating Macroalgal Growth and Drift Model (FMGDM), was developed. Based on the tracking, replication, and extinction of Lagrangian particles, FMGDM is capable of determining the dynamic growth and drift pattern of floating macroalgae, with the position, velocity, quantity, and represented biomass of particles being updated synchronously between the tracking and the ecological modules. The particle tracking is driven by ocean flows and sea surface wind, and the ecological process is controlled by the temperature, irradiation, and nutrients. The flow and turbulence fields were provided by the unstructured grid Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM), and biological parameters were specified based on a culture experiment of Ulva prolifera, a phytoplankton species causing the largest worldwide bloom of green tide in the Yellow Sea, China. The FMGDM was applied to simulate the green tide around the Yellow Sea in 2014 and 2015. The model results, e.g., the distribution, and biomass of the green tide, were validated using the remote-sensing observation data. Given the prescribed spatial initialization from remote-sensing observations, the model was robust enough to reproduce the spatial and temporal developments of the green tide bloom and its extinction from early spring to late summer, with an accurate prediction for 7–8 d. With the support of the hydrodynamic model and biological macroalgae data, FMGDM can serve as a model tool to forecast floating macroalgal blooms in other regions.
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