The present study investigates how social influence and social interactions can affect the adoption of new technologies, using stated preference (SP) survey data combined with an "accelerated reality" experience of social interaction among the respondents. Specifically, the intention to use a pro-environmental transport mode (the bike sharing) during a public transport strike within a cohort of students has been analysed. Previous studies have modelled social influence effects using SP data by providing a hypothetical scenario with simulated interactions or information about social conformity processes (i.e. social adoption) during the survey. In our paper, in addition to the impact of assumed social norms, the effect of live/real social interactions is included in the survey. SP survey is developed to investigate the effect of Level-of-Service attributes on the hypothetical choices in the scenario of a public transport strike. Besides the pre-defined attributes characterising the alternatives in the SP design, the survey includes techniques to acquire information on conformity and social interactions. Specifically, the interviewees undertake a before and after stated preference experiment (SP1 and SP2), with a period of group discussion in between the two parts. This SP experiment involves different cognitive and interpersonal mechanisms, such as the functional information exchange on benefits and drawbacks of cycling and bike sharing. The aim is to establish whether hypothetical scenarios of social conformity are different from real/live social interactions and whether these social influence processes actually affect the individuals' mode choice. A joint SP1/SP2 mixed logit (ML) model has been estimated to explore the choice behaviour of individuals and allows us to incorporate the inertia/propensity to change behaviour between SP1 and SP2. Moreover, considering the "Reflexive Layers of Influence" (RLI) framework, the processes generated by social interactions (diffusion, translation and reflexivity) are measured and incorporated in the model. We finally show the effect of these social influence variables on the goodness-of-fit of the models and choice simulation for prediction. We also draw conclusions about the value of such enhanced choice models in understanding and predicting the impacts of social interactions on choice behaviour in the context of new transport technologies.
The COVID-19 pandemic and associated travel restrictions have created an unprecedented challenge for the air transport industry, which before the pandemic was facing almost the exact opposite set of problems. Instead of the growing demand and need for capacity expansion warring against environmental concerns, the sector is now facing a slump in demand and the continuing uncertainty about the impacts of the pandemic on people’s willingness to fly. To shed light on consumer attitudes toward air travel during and post the pandemic, this study presents an analysis that draws on recently collected survey data (April–July 2020), including both revealed and stated preference components, of 388 respondents who traveled from one of the six London, U.K., airports in 2019. Several travel scenarios considering the circumstances and attitudes related to COVID-19 are explored. The data is analyzed using a hybrid choice model to integrate latent constructs related to attitudinal characteristics. The analysis confirms the impact of consumers’ health concerns on their willingness to travel, as a function of travel characteristics, that is, cost and number of transfers. It also provides insights into preference heterogeneity as a function of sociodemographic characteristics. However, no significant effects are observed concerning perceptions of safety arising from wearing a mask, or concerns over the necessity to quarantine. Results also suggest that some respondents may perceive virtual substitutes for business travel, for example video calls and similar software, as only a temporary measure, and seek to return to traveling as soon as it is possible to do so safely.
Smart technology, such as mobile communication networks, and behaviour-based approaches to promote citizens' engagement, both play a key role in making future living sustainable and tackling the persisting urban problems in cities and densely populated urban areas. In the context of Sharing Cities, a programme that aims to deliver smart cities solutions in Europe, one of the prominent interventions in the city of Milan (Italy) has been the deployment and monitoring of a Digital Social Market (DSM) tool, a smartphone app through which cities can engage with residents and encourage sustainable behaviours by offering non-monetary rewards. This paper aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the DSM approach to promote active travel (cycling and walking) by analysing the data collected through the app as well as through participants' surveys. Our model results show that a broader engagement with the DSM app (number of claps to posts, number of posts made, non-monetary rewards earned by participating in non-active travel events) is positively correlated with the monitored level of active travel. Furthermore, lifestyles, attitudes, behavioural controls, and social influence also significantly explain the variability in cycling or walking as measured by the app.
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