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Environmental risk assessments often use multiple single species toxicity test results and species sensitivity distributions (SSDs) to derive a predicted no-effect concentration in the environment, typically the 5th percentile of the SSD, termed the HC5. The shape and location of the distribution are best known when populated with numerous toxicity values. To help overcome the cost of multiple toxicity tests, we explored the potential of the U.S. EPA's Interspecies Correlation Estimation (ICE) program to predict single species toxicity values from a single known toxicity value. ICE uses the initial toxicity estimate for one species to produce correlation toxicity values for multiple species, which can be used to develop SSD and HC5. To test this approach to deriving HC5, we generated toxicity values based on measured toxicity values for three surrogate species Pimephales promelas (Fathead minnow), Onchorynchus mykiss (Rainbow trout), and Daphnia magna (water flea). Algal taxa were not used due to the paucity of high quality algal-aquatic invertebrate and algal-fish correlations. The compounds used (dodecyl linear alkylbenzenesulfonate (LAS), nonylphenol, fenvalerate, atrazine, and copper) have multiple measured toxicity values and diverse modes of action and toxicities. Distribution parameters and HC5 values from the measured toxicity values were compared with ICE predicted distributions and HC5 values. While distributional parameters (scale and intercept) differed between measured and predicted distributions, in general, the ICE-based SSDs had HC5 values that were within an order of magnitude of the measured HC5 values. Examination of species placements within the SSDs indicated that the most sensitive species were coldwater species (e.g., salmonids and Gammarus pseudolimnaeus). These results raise the potential of using quantitative structure activity models to estimate HC5s.

Abstract. Assessment of contaminant impacts to federally identified endangered, threatened and candidate, and stateidentified endangered species (collectively referred to as "listed" species) requires understanding of a species' sensitivities to particular chemicals. The most direct approach would be to determine the sensitivity of a listed species to a particular contaminant or perturbation. An indirect approach for aquatic species would be application of toxicity data obtained from standard test procedures and species commonly used in laboratory toxicity tests. Common test species (fathead minnow, Pimephales promelas; sheepshead minnow, Cyprinodon variegatus; and rainbow trout, Oncorhynchus mykiss) and 17 listed or closely related species were tested in acute 96-hour water exposures with five chemicals (carbaryl, copper, 4-nonylphenol, pentachlorophenol, and permethrin) representing a broad range of toxic modes of action. No single species was the most sensitive to all chemicals. For the three standard test species evaluated, the rainbow trout was more sensitive than either the fathead minnow or sheepshead minnow and was equal to or more sensitive than listed and related species 81% of the time. To estimate an LC50 for a listed species, a factor of 0.63 can be applied to the geometric mean LC50 of rainbow trout toxicity data, and more conservative factors can be determined using variance estimates (0.46 based on 1 SD of the mean and 0.33 based on 2 SD of the mean). Additionally, a low-or no-acute effect concentration can be estimated by multiplying the respective LC50 by a factor of approximately 0

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Standard environmental assessment procedures are designed to protect terrestrial and aquatic species. However, it is not known if endangered species are adequately protected by these procedures. At present, toxicological data obtained from studies with surrogate test fishes are assumed to be applicable to endangered fish species, but this assumption has not been validated. Static acute toxicity tests were used to compare the sensitivity of rainbow trout, fathead minnows, and sheepshead minnows to several federally listed fishes (Apache trout, Lahontan cutthroat trout, greenback cutthroat trout, bonytail chub, Colorado pikeminnow, razorback sucker, Leon Springs pupfish, and desert pupfish). Chemicals tested included carbaryl, copper, 4-nonylphenol, pentachlorophenol, and permethrin. Results indicated that the surrogates and listed species were of similar sensitivity. In two cases, a listed species had a 96-h LC50 (lethal concentration to 50% of the population) that was less than one half of its corresponding surrogate. In all other cases, differences between listed and surrogate species were less than twofold. A safety factor of two would provide a conservative estimate for listed cold-water, warm-water, and euryhaline fish species.