In real life, the incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding associated with the combination of aspirin, clopidogrel, and enoxaparin therapy was estimated to be 2.7%. Previous peptic ulcer disease or cardiogenic shock were significant independent risk factors. Coprescription with a PPI can significantly reduce the risk.
Background
: All patients with liver cirrhosis are recommended for evaluation of oesophagogastric varices (EGV) regularly. This prospective study was designed to develop a predictive model for EGV in cirrhotic patients.
Methods
: Ninety‐two patients were recruited. From all patients studied, the size of palpable spleen, liver chemistry value, platelet count, prothrombin time, diameter of main portal vein and splenic length as assessed by ultrasonography were determined. Upper endoscopy was performed. Oesophageal varices (EV) and gastric varices (GV) were graded (EV, grade 1–4; GV, grade 1–3). In the predictive model, the EGV was classified into two grades (low, grade 1–2 EV or grade 1 GV; high, grade 3–4 EV or grade 2–3 GV).
Results
: There were 53 patients with EGV and 39 patients without EGV as determined by endoscopy. Patients with EGV had a significantly higher degree of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, lower platelet count and longer splenic length than those without EGV. Low platelet count and presence of ascites were the significant independent predictors for high‐grade EGV (concordance rate 0.83). The optimal critical value for the platelet count was 150 × 10
9/L. Of patients without thrombocytopenia and ascites, 37% had low‐grade EGV but none had high‐grade EGV, whereas 38 and 35% of patients with thrombocytopenia or ascites had low and high‐grade EGV, respectively. Therefore, this predictive model for high‐grade varices had a positive and negative predictive value of 35 and 100%, respectively.
Conclusion
: Endoscopic screening for EGV was not necessary until thrombocytopenia or ascites occurred.
Introduction: The major complication of aspirin and clopidogrel (A+C) co-therapy is upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). However, data are unavailable for real-life situations. Furthermore, the treatment effect of antisecretory agents is unknown. Aim: This cohort study aimed to determine the occurrence of UGIB. The treatment effect of H2-receptor antagonist (H2RA) and proton pump inhibitor (PPI) was also analyzed. Method: The records of 987 consecutive patients on A+C co-therapy between January 2001 and September 2006 were analyzed. The follow-up ended on the dates of a first occurrence of UGIB, stopping A+C co-therapy, a change in the antisecretory class, death, or March 2007. Results: After a follow-up of 5.8 ± 6.5 months, UGIB occurred in 39 (4.0%) patients. PPI, H2RA and control were prescribed in 213, 287 and 487 patients respectively. After adjustment for age, dose of aspirin, previous UGIB and duration of treatment, the risk was marginally reduced by H2RA (OR = 0.43, 95% CI 0.18–0.91, p = 0.04) and significantly reduced by PPI (OR = 0.04, 95% CI 0.002–0.21, p = 0.002), as compared to control. Conclusion: The occurrence of UGIB associated with A+C co-therapy for a median of 5.8 months was 4.0%. Co-prescription with PPI was associated with a lower risk.
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