The aim of this post hoc analysis of the VELOUR study (ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00561470) was to investigate the treatment effect of adding aflibercept to second-line infusional 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), leucovorin and irinotecan (FOLFIRI) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) who had failed any prior oxaliplatin-containing regimen. Adjuvant rapid relapsers (ARR), who were enrolled directly following relapse during or within 6 months of completion of oxaliplatin-containing adjuvant chemotherapy (N = 124, including 17 patients who also received bevacizumab as part of their adjuvant therapy), were excluded from the original VELOUR intention-to-treat (ITT) population (N = 1226). After exclusion of the ARR, overall survival (OS) in the ITT minus ARR (ITT-ARR) population (N = 1102) was longer in the aflibercept plus FOLFIRI arm than in the placebo plus FOLFIRI arm [hazard ratio (HR) 0.78, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.90; median survival difference 1.87 months]. In the subgroup of patients assigned to the prior bevacizumab stratum at randomization, OS was numerically longer in the aflibercept plus FOLFIRI arm than in the placebo plus FOLFIRI arm (HR 0.81; 95 % CI 0.63-1.04; median survival difference 2.14 months). Comparison of the post hoc analysis results with the primary analysis from VELOUR suggests that the inclusion of the directly enrolled ARR may have understated the aflibercept treatment benefit for both bevacizumab-pretreated and bevacizumab-naïve patients in the strictly second-line setting although no definitive conclusion may be inferred. The benefit associated with the addition of aflibercept to second-line FOLFIRI in patients with mCRC was observed whatever the timing of first-line disease progression. There were no unexpected safety concerns.
BackgroundThe VELOUR study demonstrated a survival benefit for FOLFIRI + aflibercept versus FOLFIRI + placebo in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients who progressed on oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy. Continued divergence of overall survival (OS) curves in the intension to treat (ITT) population, with the survival advantage persisting beyond median survival time, suggested subpopulations might have different magnitudes of survival gain. Additionally, 10% of patients within VELOUR had recurrence during or within 6 months of completing oxaliplatin-based adjuvant therapy (adjuvant fast relapsers) - previously identified as having poorer survival outcomes.MethodsTo determine which patients received the greatest benefit from FOLFIRI-aflibercept, a post hoc multivariate analysis of the VELOUR ITT population was conducted. Prognostic factors identified were applied to the ITT population, excluding adjuvant fast relapsers, to derive OS prognostic profiles.ResultsThe better efficacy subgroup was identified as patients within VELOUR exclusive of adjuvant fast relapsers and had performance status (PS) 0 with any number of metastatic site or PS 1 with <2 metastatic site. A significant improvement in efficacy outcome was observed with aflibercept in the better efficacy subgroup. Median OS for FOLFIRI-aflibercept and FOLFIRI-placebo:16.2 and 13.1 months (adjusted Hazard Ratio [HR] = 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61–0.86); median progression free survival (PFS): 7.2 and 4.8 months (adjusted HR = 0.68; 95% CI: 0.57-0.80); and objective response rate (ORR): 24% versus 11% respectively. Poorer efficacy subgroup comprised of adjuvant fast relapsers or patients with PS2 or PS1 with ≥2 metastatic sites. In poorer efficacy subgroup, no benefit was seen with aflibercept. Median OS for FOLFIRI-aflibercept and FOLFIRI-placebo: 10.4 and 9.6 months (adjusted HR = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.78-1.21) respectively with no improvement in PFS or ORR.ConclusionThis analysis suggests that within VELOUR, patients in the better efficacy subgroup may derive enhanced benefit from treatment with FOLFIRI-aflibercept. These prognostic criteria may guide practitioners toward optimal use of targeted biologicals in appropriate second-line mCRC patients.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/1471-2407-14-605) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
This is the first real-world study to collect utilities for patients with second-line mCRC pre- and post-disease progression. Utility values were similar pre- and post-progression. To further explore the effect of radiological progression on utilities, longitudinal research is required that includes patients in palliative care centres.
Background:Mean survival in cancer trials can be estimated with statistical techniques to extrapolate study survival curves. This methodology was applied to data from the VELOUR trial, where use of the novel biologic aflibercept (ziv-aflibercept in the United States) in combination with fluorouracil+leucovorin+irinotecan (FOLFIRI), had significantly increased median overall survival (OS) by 1.44 months, vs placebo plus FOLFIRI in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) resistant to, or that had progressed following, an oxaliplatin-containing regimen.Methods:Parametric survival analyses were used to identify distributions with the best fit to the empirical VELOUR data. Mean OS for the two treatment groups (and pre-defined subgroups) was calculated from the fitted curves over a 15-year survival period.Results:Overall, the log-logistic distribution was the best-fitting for both treatment arms and, with it, the estimated difference in mean OS over 15 years between aflibercept+FOLFIRI and placebo+FOLFIRI was 4.7 months. In addition, the survival advantage with aflibercept was at least 3 months for the ITT population, whichever distribution was used to extrapolate survival.Conclusion:Extrapolation of survival curves suggests the mean OS difference for aflibercept in the VELOUR trial is at least 3 months in the ITT population and selected subgroups.
Abstract. Background: The standard of care for STsegment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is prompt coronary reperfusion with thrombolysis or percutaneous coronary intervention. Women have higher mortality rates than men following STEMI and fewer women are considered eligible for reperfusion therapy. We analyzed the impact of gender, and other factors, on the outcome and treatment of STEMI in the TETAMI trial and registry.Methods: This exploratory analysis included 2741 patients from Treatment with Enoxaparin and Tirofiban in Acute Myocardial Infarction (TETAMI) presenting with STEMI within 24 hours of symptom onset. The primary composite end point was the combined incidence of all-cause death, recurrent myocardial infarction, and recurrent angina, at 30 days. Three multivariate analyses were performed to determine predictors of not receiving reperfusion therapy, the composite end point, or death.Results: The triple end point occurred in 17.8% of women versus 13.3% of men. Reperfusion therapy was utilized in 38.2% of women versus 47.3% in men. However, age >75 years, delayed presentation, high systolic blood pressure (>100) and region (South Africa), were significant, independent predictors of not receiving reperfusion therapy. Significant predictors of the triple end point included not receiving reperfusion therapy, age >60 years, and higher Killip class. Predictors of death included age >60 years, low systolic blood pressure, higher Killip class, high heart rate, delayed presentation, and region (South Africa and South America).Conclusion: Female gender was not an independent predictor of outcome or underutilization of reperfusion therapy. Factors more common in female STEMI patients (advanced age and delayed presentation) were associated with not receiving reperfusion therapy and adverse outcome. Increased awareness is needed to reduce delayed presentation after symptom onset, especially among women.Abbreviated abstract. In this analysis of 2741 STsegment elevation myocardial infarction patients in the TETAMI trial and registry, a trend was observed for women being less likely to receive reperfusion therapy and more likely to have an adverse outcome than men. This was related to factors more common in female patients (advanced age and delayed presentation), and showed that an increased awareness is needed to reduce delayed presentation after symptom onset, especially among women.
3602 Background: VELOUR evaluated the efficacy and safety of the novel fusion protein aflibercept (VEGF Trap) in combination with FOLFIRI in mCRC patients previously treated with oxaliplatin. Median OS showed significant improvement with 12.06 months in placebo arm vs 13.50 months in aflibercept arm (p=0.0032; HR=0.82 [95.34% CI: 0.71 to 0.94]) [Van Cutsem, 2011]. Since survival data in oncology are usually right skewed, median survival is preferred for regulatory purposes. However, mean survival estimation can render a more meaningful estimate for long term benefit of interventions, and be effectively applied to clinical and economic decision support. Estimating mean OS also allows payers to derive an estimation of total costs and outcomes in the population. The purpose of this study was to estimate the mean OS for VELOUR trial. Methods: During the trial follow-up period, mean OS is not observable and can be estimated by extrapolating the trial Kaplan-Meier curve using a survival function. Several standard parametric distributions were tested: exponential, weibull, lognormal, loglogistic and gompertz. Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC) and graphical method were used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the distributions. Models were run by treatment arm separately or combining the two arms and using treatment as covariate to control for variation. Results: Using AIC/BIC and graphical method, loglogistic function best fit the VELOUR data both with and without treatment as covariate. Weibull distribution is used for sensitivity analysis. Conclusions: Using loglogistic function, mean OS benefit for aflibercept in combination with FOLFIRI is at least 2.9 months (versus 1.4 months difference in median survival). The results have important implications for clinical and economic decision support. Study NCT00561470 was funded by sanofi, in partnership with Regeneron. [Table: see text]
ing beliefs of patients' reluctance to disclose T&CM usage to healthcare providers especially the physicians is important especially when they are on active cancer treatment. Results from this study can help physicians to initiate open discussions with patients at the time of treatment decision in order to improve patients' compliance towards proven therapies. Further research is required to evaluate physicians' attitude towards cancer patients' use of T&CM.
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