Reliable factors predicting the disease course of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) with carcinoma in situ (CIS) are unavailable. Molecular subtypes have potential for prognostic stratification of muscle-invasive bladder cancer, while their value for CIS patients is unknown. Here, the prognostic impact of both clinico-pathological parameters, including CIS focality, and immunohistochemistry-based surrogate subtypes was analyzed in a cohort of high-risk NMIBC patients with CIS. In 128 high-risk NMIBC patients with CIS, luminal (KRT20, GATA3, ERBB2) and basal (KRT5/6, KRT14) surrogate markers as well as p53 were analyzed in 213–231 biopsies. To study inter-lesional heterogeneity of CIS, marker expression in independent CIS biopsies from different bladder localizations was analyzed. Clinico-pathological parameters and surrogate subtypes were correlated with recurrence-free (RFS), progression-free (PFS), cancer-specific (CSS), and overall survival (OS). Forty-six and 30% of CIS patients exhibited a luminal-like (KRT20-positive, KRT5/6-negative) and a null phenotype (KRT20-negative, KRT5/6-negative), respectively. A basal-like subtype (KRT20-negative, KRT5/6-positive) was not observed. A significant degree of inter-lesional CIS heterogeneity was noted, reflected by 23% of patients showing a mixed subtype. Neither CIS surrogate subtype nor CIS focality was associated with patient outcome. Patient age and smoking status were the only potentially independent prognostic factors predicting RFS, PFS, OS, and PFS, respectively. In conclusion, further clarification of heterogeneity of surrogate subtypes in HR NMIBC and their prognostic value is of importance with regard to potential implementation of molecular subtyping into clinical routine. The potential prognostic usefulness of patient age and smoking status for high-risk NMIBC patients with CIS needs further validation.

High-grade non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (HG NMIBC) patients are at high risk (HR) of progression to muscle-invasion. Bladder-preserving therapies for this patient subgroup are limited, and additional treatments are desirable. Recently, enfortumab vedotin, targeting cancer-associated NECTIN4, has been approved for the treatment of advanced urothelial carcinoma. However, data on the expression of NECTIN4 and its therapeutic potential for HR NMIBC are scarce. Here, NECTIN4 was immunohistochemically analyzed in urothelial HG NMIBC by studying cohorts of carcinoma in situ (CIS)/T1HG (N = 182 samples), HG papillary tumors from mixed-grade lesions (mixed TaHG) (N = 87) and papillary HG tumors without a history of low-grade disease (pure TaHG/T1HG) (N = 98) from overall 225 patients. Moreover, inter-lesional NECTIN4 heterogeneity in multifocal HG NMIBC tumors was determined. A high prevalence of NECTIN4 positivity was noted across HG NMIBC subgroups (91%, N = 367 samples), with 77% of samples showing moderate/strong expression. Heterogenous NECTIN4 levels were observed between HG NMIBC subgroups: non-invasive areas of CIS/T1HG and pure TaHG/T1HG samples showed NECTIN4 positivity in 96% and 99%, with 88% and 83% moderate/strong expressing specimens, respectively, whereas significantly lower NECTIN4 levels were detected in mixed TaHG lesions (72% positivity, 48% of samples with moderate/strong NECTIN4 expression). Moreover, higher NECTIN4 heterogeneity was observed in patients with multifocal mixed TaHG tumors (22% of patients) compared to patients with multifocal CIS/T1HG and pure TaHG/T1HG tumors (9% and 5%). Taken together, NECTIN4-directed antibody–drug conjugates might be promising for the treatment of HR NMIBC patients, especially for those exhibiting CIS/T1HG and pure TaHG/T1HG tumors without a history of low-grade disease.