a b s t r a c tWe present a fast and simple tree model to price simple and exotic options in Markov Regime Switching Model (MRSM) with multi-regime. We modify the trinomial tree model of Boyle (1986) [12] by controlling the risk neutral probability measure in different regime states to ensure that the tree model can accommodate the data of all different regimes at the same time preserving its combining tree structure. In MRSM, the market might not be complete, therefore we provide some ideas and discussions on managing the regime switching risk in support of our results.

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Nowadays, the regime switching model has become a popular model in mathematical finance and actuarial science. The market is not complete when the model has regime switching. Thus, pricing the regime switching risk is an important issue. In Naik (1993), a jump diffusion model with two regimes is studied. In this paper, we extend the model of Naik (1993) to a multi-regime case. We present a trinomial tree method to price options in the extended model. Our results show that the trinomial tree method in this paper is an effective method; it is very fast and easy to implement. Compared with the existing methodologies, the proposed method has an obvious advantage when one needs to price exotic options and the number of regime states is large. Various numerical examples are presented to illustrate the ideas and methodologies.

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In asset allocation problem, the distribution of the assets is usually assumed to be known in order to identify the optimal portfolio. In practice, we need to estimate their distribution. The estimations are not necessarily accurate and it is known as the uncertainty problem. Many researches show that most people are uncertainty aversion and this affects their investment strategy. In this article, we consider risk and information uncertainty under a common asset allocation framework. The effects of risk premium and covariance uncertainty are demonstrated by the worst scenario in a set of measures generated by a relative entropy constraint. The nature of the uncertainty and its impacts on the asset allocation are discussed.