Social inequalities in health are known to be influenced by the socioeconomic status of the territory in which people live. In the context of the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, this study is aimed at assessing the role of 5 area-level indicators in shaping the risk of contagion in the provinces of Milan and Lodi (Lombardy, Italy), namely: educational disadvantage, unemployment, housing crowding, mobility, and population density. The study area includes the municipalities at the origin of the first Italian epidemic outbreak. Data on COVID-19 patients from the Integrated Datawarehouse for COVID Analysis in Milan were used and matched with aggregate-level data from the National Institute of Statistics Italy (Istat). Multilevel logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between the census block-level predictors and COVID-19 infection, independently of age, sex, country of birth, and preexisting health conditions. All the variables were significantly associated with the outcome, with different effects before and after the lockdown and according to the province of residence. This suggests a pattern of socioeconomic inequalities in the outbreak, which should be taken into account in the eventuality of future epidemics to contain their spread and its related disparities.
BACKGROUNDPolyomavirus-associated nephropathy is a leading cause of kidney allograft failure. Therapeutic options are limited and prompt reduction of the net state of immunosuppression represents the mainstay of treatment. More recent application of aggressive screening and management protocols for BK-virus infection after renal transplantation has shown encouraging results. Nevertheless, long-term outcome for patients with BK-viremia and nephropathy remains obscure. Risk factors for BK-virus infection are also unclear.AIMTo investigate incidence, risk factors, and outcome of BK-virus infection after kidney transplantation.METHODSThis single-centre observational study with a median follow up of 57 (31-80) mo comprises 629 consecutive adult patients who underwent kidney transplantation between 2007 and 2013. Data were prospectively recorded and annually reviewed until 2016. Recipients were periodically screened for BK-virus by plasma quantitative polymerized chain reaction. Patients with BK viral load ≥ 1000 copies/mL were diagnosed BK-viremia and underwent histological assessment to rule out nephropathy. In case of BK-viremia, immunosuppression was minimized according to a prespecified protocol. The following outcomes were evaluated: patient survival, overall graft survival, graft failure considering death as a competing risk, 30-d-event-censored graft failure, response to treatment, rejection, renal function, urologic complications, opportunistic infections, new-onset diabetes after transplantation, and malignancies. We used a multivariable model to analyse risk factors for BK-viremia and nephropathy.RESULTSBK-viremia was detected in 9.5% recipients. Initial viral load was high (≥ 10000 copies/mL) in 66.7% and low (< 10000 copies/mL) in 33.3% of these patients. Polyomavirus-associated nephropathy was diagnosed in 6.5% of the study population. Patients with high initial viral load were more likely to experience sustained viremia (95% vs 25%, P < 0.00001), nephropathy (92.5% vs 15%, P < 0.00001), and polyomavirus-related graft loss (27.5% vs 0%, P = 0.0108) than recipients with low initial viral load. Comparison between recipients with or without BK-viremia showed that the proportion of patients with Afro-Caribbean ethnicity (33.3% vs 16.5%, P = 0.0024), panel-reactive antibody ≥ 50% (30% vs 14.6%, P = 0.0047), human leukocyte antigen (HLA) mismatching > 4 (26.7% vs 13.4%, P = 0.0110), and rejection within thirty days of transplant (21.7% vs 9.5%; P = 0.0073) was higher in the viremic group. Five-year patient and overall graft survival rates for patients with or without BK-viremia were similar. However, viremic recipients showed higher 5-year crude cumulative (22.5% vs 12.2%, P = 0.0270) and 30-d-event-censored (22.5% vs 7.1%, P = 0.001) incidences of graft failure than control. In the viremic group we also observed higher proportions of recipients with 5-year estimated glomerular filtration rate < 30 mL/min than the group without viremia: 45% vs 27% (P = 0.0064). Urologic complications were comparable between the ...
Background Light physical activity is known to reduce atrial fibrillation risk, whereas moderate to vigorous physical activity may result in an increased risk. However, the question of what volume of physical activity can be considered beneficial remains poorly understood. The scope of the present work was to examine the relation between physical activity volume and atrial fibrillation risk. Design A comprehensive systematic review was performed following the PRISMA guidelines. Methods A non-linear meta-regression considering the amount of energy spent in physical activity was carried out. The first derivative of the non-linear relation between physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk was evaluated to determine the volume of physical activity that carried the minimum atrial fibrillation risk. Results The dose-response analysis of the relation between physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk showed that physical activity at volumes of 5-20 metabolic equivalents per week (MET-h/week) was associated with significant reduction in atrial fibrillation risk (relative risk for 19 MET-h/week = 0.92 (0.87, 0.98). By comparison, physical activity volumes exceeding 20 MET-h/week were unrelated to atrial fibrillation risk (relative risk for 21 MET-h/week = 0.95 (0.88, 1.02). Conclusion These data show a J-shaped relation between physical activity volume and atrial fibrillation risk. Physical activity at volumes of up to 20 MET-h/week is associated with reduced atrial fibrillation risk, whereas volumes exceeding 20 MET-h/week show no relation with risk.
Considering that changes in exercise routines might have relevance in treatment of adolescents with type 1 diabetes mellitus, we sought to assess whether spontaneous modifications to weekly exercise habits might occur in these patients and whether such variations would be accompanied by alterations in autonomic profile. In this observational study, we examined 77 patients (age 15.0 ± 0.6 years.) who in addition to a tailored optimal insulin treatment were invited to perform at least 1 h a day of moderate, aerobic exercise, as suggested by recent guidelines. Patients were studied at baseline (T0) and after 15.8 ± 0.7 months (T1). They were divided into three subgroups according to increased, unchanged and diminished total estimated weekly METs between T0 and T1. Autonomic profile was evaluated by assessing spontaneous baroreflex gain and low-frequency oscillation in arterial pressure, using spectral analysis of RR and systolic arterial pressure time series. Insulin therapy and biochemical data were similar among the 3 groups at T0 and T1, while body mass index standard deviation score was slightly reduced (p < 0.04) and markers of autonomic performance were improved (alpha index, from 17 ± 1 to 20 ± 2 ms/mmHg, p < 0.002) in the group who increased the amount of exercise (from 1627 ± 250 to 3582 ± 448 METs min wt(-1), p < 0.001). Furthermore, the change in total weekly METs significantly correlates with changes of key indices of autonomic regulation. The favourable autonomic effects of moderate increase in spontaneous exercise load suggest testing more formally this intervention in adolescents with type 1 diabetes.
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