Advanced model-based experiment design techniques are essential for the rapid development, refinement,
and statistical assessment of deterministic process models. One objective of experiment design is to devise
experiments yielding the most informative data for use in the estimation of the model parameters. Current
techniques assume that multiple experiments are designed in a sequential manner. However, multiple equipment
can sometimes be available, and simultaneous (parallel) experiments could be advantageous in terms of time
and resources utilization. The concept of model-based design of parallel experiments is presented in this
paper. Furthermore, a novel criterion for optimal experiment design is proposed: the criterion aims at
maximizing complementary information by considering different eigenvalues in the information matrix. The
benefits of adopting such an approach are discussed through an illustrative case
The optimal model-based design of experiments aims at designing a set of dynamic experiments yielding the most informative process data to be used for the estimation of the parameters of a first-principles dynamic process model. According to the usual procedure for parameter estimation, the experiment is first designed offline; then, the experiment is carried out in the plant, and process measurements are collected; and finally, parameters are estimated after completion of the experiment. Therefore, the information gathered during the evolution of the experiment is analyzed only at the end of the experiment itself. Since the experiment is designed on the basis of the parameter estimates available before the experiment is started, the progressive increase of the information resulting from the progress of the experiment is not exploited by the designer until the end of that experiment. In this paper, a strategy for the online model-based redesign of experiments is proposed to exploit the information as soon as it is generated from the execution of an experiment, and its performance is compared to that of a standard optimal experiment design approach. Intermediate parameter estimations are carried out while the experiment is running, and by exploiting the information obtained, the experiment is partially redesigned before its termination, with the purpose of updating the experimental settings to generate more valuable information for subsequent analysis. This enables us to reduce the number of experimental trials that are needed to reach a statistically sound estimation of the model parameters and results in a reduction of experimental time, raw materials needs, number of samples to be analyzed, control effort, and labor. Two simulated case studies of increasing level of complexity are used to demonstrate the benefits of the proposed approach with respect to a state-of-the-art sequential model-based experiment design.
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