To clarify and verify the ultralow frequency (ULF) seismomagnetic phenomena, we have performed statistical studies on the geomagnetic data observed at the Kakioka (KAK) station, Japan, during 2001-2010. We investigated the energy of ULF geomagnetic signals of the frequency around 0.01 Hz using wavelet transform analysis. To minimize the influences of artificial noises and global geomagnetic perturbations, we used only the geomagnetic data observed at nighttime (LT 2:30 A.M. to 4:00 A.M.) and utilized observations from a remote station, Kanoya, as a reference. Statistical results of superposed epoch analysis have indicated that ULF magnetic anomalies are more likely to appear before sizable earthquake events (E s > 10 8 ) rather than after them, especially 6-15 days before the events. Further statistical investigations show clearly that the ULF geomagnetic anomalies at KAK station are more sensitive to larger and closer events. Finally, we have evaluated the precursory information of ULF geomagnetic signals for local sizable earthquakes using Molchan's error diagram. The probability gain is around 1.6 against a Poisson model. The above results have indicated that the ULF seismomagnetic phenomena at KAK clearly contain precursory information and have a possibility of improving the forecasting of large earthquakes.
Abstract. Indonesia is one of the most seismically active regions in the world and mitigation of seismic hazard is important. It is reported that Ultra low frequency (ULF) geomagnetic anomalies are one of the most convincing phenomena preceding large earthquakes (EQs). In this paper we have analyzed geomagnetic data at Pelabuhan Ratu (PLR) (7.01 • S, 106.56 • E), Sukabumi, West Java, Indonesia, from 1 September 2008 to 31 October 2010. There are twelve moderate-large EQs (M ≥ 5) within 160 km from the station during the analyzed period. The largest one is the M = 7.5 EQ (depth = 57 km, epicentral distance = 135 km, 2 September 2009) based on EQ catalog of Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological and Geophysical Agency (BMKG). To investigate the ULF geomagnetic anomalous variations preceding all the EQs, spectral density ratio at the frequency range of 0.01 ± 0.003 Hz based on wavelet transform (WT) and detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) have been carried out. The spectral density ratio results show the enhancements a few weeks before the largest EQ. The enhancement persists about one week and reaches a maximum on 16 August 2009. At the same time, the result of the DFA presents the decrease of α value. For other EQs, there are no clear increases of the spectral density ratio with simultaneous decrease of α value. When these phenomena occur, the value of Dst index shows that there are no peculiar global geomagnetic activities at the low latitude region. The above results are suggestive of the relation between the detected anomalies and the largest EQ.
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