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Using daily rainfall data from 183 stations, influences of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on precipitation over southern Iran are examined. When composites of daily rainfall anomalies are constructed by introducing eight phases in the time evolution, wet conditions are observed in MJO phases 1-2 and 7-8. During these phases, atmospheric circulation anomalies favor moisture advection from the western Indian Ocean to southern Iran. In contrast, dry conditions during MJO phases 3 to 6 are associated with advection of drier air from the north.

The intra-seasonal variation of precipitation over Iran is examined in terms of the combined effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), using daily observations during the wet season (October-May) from 1961 to 2015. We have examined how the probability of daily rainfall above the upper tercile varies across MJO phases during positive and negative IOD and ENSO states. The results indicate that the response of Iran's wet-season rainfall to the MJO is affected more by large-scale atmospheric variations associated with the IOD than by ENSO. The negative (positive) IOD strengthens (suppresses) the MJO-rainfall relationship in the wet and dry MJO phases. The variation in the atmospheric variables (relative humidity and vertical velocity) indicates more (less) humidity and upwards (downwards) motion which increases (decreases) precipitation in wet (dry) MJO phases during the negative IOD. The rainfall relationship with the MJO during the negative IOD is statistically significant, while the relationship during the positive IOD is weak; and no significant relationship is found during either phase of ENSO.

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The influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) on surface air temperature over Iran is examined using daily data from meteorological stations from 1979-2015. Composites of daily surface air temperature anomalies are positive in MJO phases 1 and 8 and negative in MJO phases 3-4 with broader region positive tendencies also in MJO phases 2 and 7, and negative tendencies in MJO phases 5-6. This variability is associated with horizontal temperature advection, whereby the southerly (northward) winds act to heat and the northerly (southward) winds cool Iran, in association with the MJO. Further, we find that daily minimum surface air temperatures respond more strongly to the MJO than do daily maximum surface temperatures.These signals correspond to cloudy and humid conditions.

<p class="western" align="justify">Because of low precipitation and its severe fluctuations in Iran, understanding the dynamics of large scale climate modes and probability of annual and intraseasonal precipitation variation is essential for water management. This study investigates the characteristics of the combined effects of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on precipitation over Iran. Daily precipitation and atmospheric data (relative humidity and vertical velocity) were analysed over Iran during wet season (October to May) for the period 1961 to 2018. The results indicated that: 1) Distinct difference can be observed in spatial distribution of the probability of daily precipitation above upper tercile for MJO phases, phase 1 and 2 wetter while 4 and 5 are drier. The relative humidity is higher in phases (1-3 and 7-8) and lower in phases (4-6). The vertical velocity shows upward (downword) motion in phases 1-2 and 7-8 (3-6). 2) Response of rainy season precipitation over Iran to MJO is more affected by the large-scale atmospheric variation associated with negative NAO as compared to positive NAO. In the negative NAO, the MJO increase (decrease) the probability of upper tercile precipitation 1.2 (0.7) times in phases 2-3 (4-6) and significant tests show a significantly large response for west and North west of Iran. In contrast of positive NAO, the relative humidity and vertical velocity is more affected by negative NAO state. The more (less) humidity and upward (downward) motions increase (decrease) precipitation in phases 2-3 (4-6).</p>