Surface air temperatures modelled by ERA-40, ERA-Interim and (NCEP)/(NCAR) reanalysis (NNRP-1) have been compared with observations at 11 synoptic stations in Ireland over the period [1989][1990][1991][1992][1993][1994][1995][1996][1997][1998][1999][2000][2001]. The three reanalysis datasets show good agreement with the observed data and with each other. Slopes of the least-squares line to scatter plots of reanalysis data versus observational data show small differences between the three reanalyses, with ERA-40, ERA-Interim and NNRP-1 slopes ranging between (0.79-1.06) ± 0.01, (0.83-1.01) ± 0.01 and (0.76-0.98) ± 0.01, respectively. Summary statistics and the monthly mean temperatures over the 1989-2001 period showed that the reanalyses were significantly warmer in winter than the observations, which resulted in best fit lines with slopes consistently less than unity. ERA-Interim was slightly better than both ERA-40 and NNRP-1 at modelling winter temperatures and it had higher correlation coefficients with the observations. All three reanalyses use different grid sizes and types. Subsequent regridding of the ERA-Interim and NNRP-1 data to the ERA-40 grid showed that the grid difference had no significant influence on the results. Comparison of ERA-Interim and NNRP-1 data with the air temperatures at four marine buoys around the Irish coast for the period [2001][2002][2003][2004][2005] showed that the reanalyses modelled colder winter temperatures than the observations; resulting in best fit lines with slopes consistently greater than unity. The slopes for NNRP-1 and ERA-Interim at the marine buoys, respectively, averaged 1.09 ± 0.04 and 1.10 ± 0.05 while the slopes at the four land stations over the same period averaged 0.87 ± 0.02 and 0.89 ± 0.02, respectively. We believe that this pattern results from the difference in the treatment of land and sea surfaces in the reanalysis datasets.
The Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) is used to downscale interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) data for the climate over Europe for the period 1990-95 with grid spacing of 0.448 for 12 combinations of physical parameterizations. Two longwave radiation schemes, two land surface models (LSMs), two microphysics schemes, and two planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes have been investigated while the remaining physics schemes were unchanged. WRF simulations are compared with Ensemble-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and their Impacts (ENSEMBLES) observations gridded dataset (E-OBS) for surface air temperatures (T2), precipitation, and mean sea level pressure (MSLP) in eight subregions within the model domain to assess the performance of the different parameterizations on widely varying regional climates. This work shows that T2 is modeled well by WRF with high correlation coefficients (0.8 , R , 0.95) and biases less than 48C. T2 shows greatest sensitivity to land surface models, some sensitivity to longwave radiation schemes, and less sensitivity to microphysics and PBL schemes. Precipitation is not well modeled by WRF with low correlation coefficients (0.1 , R , 0.3) and high root-mean-square differences (RMSDs; 8-9 mm day 21 ). Precipitation shows sensitivity to LSMs in summer. No significant bias has been observed in the MSLP modeled by WRF. Correlation coefficients are typically in the range 0.7 , R , 0.8 while RMSDs are in the range 6-10 hPa. MSLP output is sensitive to longwave radiation scheme in summer but is relatively insensitive to either microphysics or the choice of LSM. The optimum combination of parameterizations for all three state variables examined is strongly dependent on subregion and demonstrates the need to carefully select parameterization combinations when attempting to use WRF as a regional climate model.
Temperature profiles from two satellite instruments – TIMED/SABER and Aura/MLS – have been used to calculate hydroxyl-layer equivalent temperatures for comparison with values measured from OH(6-2) emission lines observed by a ground-based spectrometer located at Davis Station, Antarctica (68° S, 78° E). The profile selection criteria – miss-distance <500 km from the ground station and solar zenith angles >97° – yielded a total of 2359 SABER profiles over 8 years (2002–2009) and 7407 MLS profiles over 5.5 years (2004–2009). The availability of simultaneous OH volume emission rate (VER) profiles from the SABER (OH-B channel) enabled an assessment of the impact of several different weighting functions in the calculation of OH-equivalent temperatures. The maximum difference between all derived hydroxyl layer equivalent temperatures was less than 3 K. Restricting the miss-distance and miss-time criteria showed little effect on the bias, suggesting that the OH layer is relatively uniform over the spatial and temporal scales considered. However, a significant trend was found in the bias between SABER and Davis OH of ~0.7 K/year over the 8-year period with SABER becoming warmer compared with the Davis OH temperatures. In contrast, Aura/MLS exhibited a cold bias of 9.9 ± 0.4 K compared with Davis OH, but importantly, the bias remained constant over the 2004–2009 year period examined. The difference in bias behaviour of the two satellites has significant implications for multi-annual and long-term studies using their data
Abstract. Measurements of hydroxyl nightglow emissions over Longyearbyen (78 • N, 16 • E) recorded simultaneously by the SABER instrument onboard the TIMED satellite and a ground-based Ebert-Fastie spectrometer have been used to derive an empirical formula for the height of the OH layer as a function of the integrated emission rate (IER). Altitude profiles of the OH volume emission rate (VER) derived from SABER observations over a period of more than six years provided a relation between the height of the OH layer peak and the integrated emission rate following the procedure described by Liu and Shepherd (2006). An extended period of overlap of SABER and ground-based spectrometer measurements of OH(6-2) IER during the 2003-2004 winter season allowed us to express ground-based IER values in terms of their satellite equivalents. The combination of these two formulae provided a method for inferring an altitude of the OH emission layer over Longyearbyen from ground-based measurements alone. Such a method is required when SABER is in a southward looking yaw cycle. In the SABER data for the period 2002-2008, the peak altitude of the OH layer ranged from a minimum near 76 km to a maximum near 90 km. The uncertainty in the inferred altitude of the peak emission, which includes a contribution for atmospheric extinction, was estimated to be ±2.7 km and is comparable with the ±2.6 km value quoted for the nominal altitude (87 km) of the OH layer. Longer periods of overlap of satellite and ground-based measurements together with simultaneous onsite measurements of atmospheric extinction could reduce the uncertainty to approximately 2 km.
[1] Temperatures at 90 km altitude above Svalbard (78 N, 16 E) have been determined using a meteor wind radar and subsequently calibrated by satellite measurements for the period autumn 2001 to present. The dependence of the temperatures on solar driving has been investigated using the Ottawa 10.7 cm flux as a proxy. Removing the response of the temperatures to the seasonal and solar cycle variations yields a residual time series which exhibits the negative trend of À4 AE 2 K decade À1 . We indicate that, given the month-to-month variability and memory in the time series, for a 90% confidence in this trend, we require only 55 months of data -considerably less than the amount available. Cooling of the middle atmosphere, which would be strongly supported by these results, would result in contraction and subsequent lowering of pressure surfaces; we explain that including a negative trend in the pressure model used to obtain temperatures from meteor train echo fading times would also merely serve to augment the observed 90 km cooling.Citation: Hall, C. M., M. E. Dyrland, M. Tsutsumi, and F. J. Mulligan (2012), Temperature trends at 90 km over Svalbard, Norway (78 N 16 E), seen in one decade of meteor radar observations,
[1] A technique for using satellite-derived temperatures to calibrate initial estimates of 90 km temperatures measured by meteor wind radar is presented. Temperatures derived from the Nippon/Norway Svalbard Meteor Radar, situated on Svalbard at 78°N, 16°E, are calibrated using data from the Aura spacecraft's Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) experiment. The calibration was performed in a two-step process: after an initial calibration of first-guess temperatures, results were used to adjust the MLS values to reflect daily means rather than the 0200-1100 UT observation period of the satellite instrument; thereafter the calibration was repeated with the revised MLS temperatures. The resulting temperature time series represents a marked improvement on earlier results calibrated using hydroxyl emission and potassium/K-Lidar observations, as the uncertainty is reduced from 17 to 7 K. These latest results represent a new step toward reliable and continual monitoring of upper mesosphere/lower thermosphere temperature.Citation: Dyrland, M. E., C. M. Hall, F. J. Mulligan, M. Tsutsumi, and F. Sigernes (2010), Improved estimates for neutral air temperatures at 90 km and 78°N using satellite and meteor radar data, Radio Sci., 45, RS4006,
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