Ecosystems adapt differently to global warming through microclimatic factors. Mires are sensitive wetland habitats that strongly rely on local soil properties, making them a good model to understand how local climatic parameters counteract the effects of climate change. We quantified the temperature buffering effect in waterlogged mire soils as compared with adjacent dry soils. We buried dataloggers at 5 cm depth in waterlogged and dry points in eight mires of the Cantabrian Mountains (Spain, southwestern Europe) and recorded soil temperatures for ca. 5 years. We also compared our local measures with air temperatures predicted by the CHELSA model. Waterlogged soils had less diurnal thermal amplitude (−2.3 C), less annual thermal amplitude (−5.1 C), cooler summer maxima (−4.3 C) and warmer winter minima (+0.8 C). CHELSA air temperatures only correlated significantly (p < .05) with winter minimum soil temperatures (Pearson's r > .83), and CHELSA predictions were less accurate (higher root-mean-square error [RMSE]) for waterlogged soils, except for the summer maxima. We conclude that mire soils show a thermal buffer effect that insulates them from the surrounding landscape. This effect is stronger at the warm end of the climatic spectrum, that is, during summer and at lower elevations. These results highlight the potential refugial character of mires under global warming, and the need to integrate microclimate measurements into climate change models.
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