Vacancies in iron are hydrogen traps, important in the understanding of hydrogen embrittlement of steel. We present a grand canonical approach to computing the trap occupancy as a function of both temperature and hydrogen concentration from practically zero to super-saturation. Our method couples a purpose-made machine-learned H-Fe potential, which enables rapid sampling with near density functional theory accuracy, with a statistical mechanical calculation of the trap occupancy using the technique of nested sampling. In contrast to the conventional assumption (based on Oriani theory) that at industrially relevant hydrogen concentrations and ambient conditions vacancy traps are are fully occupied, we find that vacancy traps are less than fully occupied under these conditions, necessitating a reevaluation of how we think about "mobile hydrogen" in iron and steel.
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