Probabilistic models of directed polymers in random environment have received considerable attention in recent years. Much of this attention has focused on integrable models. In this paper, we introduce some new computational tools that do not require integrability. We begin by defining a new kind of abstract limit object, called "partitioned subprobability measure", to describe the limits of endpoint distributions of directed polymers. Inspired by a recent work of Mukherjee and Varadhan on large deviations of the occupation measure of Brownian motion, we define a suitable topology on the space of partitioned subprobability measures and prove that this topology is compact. Then using a variant of the cavity method from the theory of spin glasses, we show that any limit law of a sequence of endpoint distributions must satisfy a fixed point equation on this abstract space, and that the limiting free energy of the model can be expressed as the solution of a variational problem over the set of fixed points. As a first application of the theory, we prove that in an environment with finite exponential moment, the endpoint distribution is asymptotically purely atomic if and only if the system is in the low temperature phase. The analogous result for a heavy-tailed environment was proved by Vargas in 2007. As a second application, we prove a subsequential version of the longstanding conjecture that in the low temperature phase, the endpoint distribution is asymptotically localized in a region of stochastically bounded diameter. All our results hold in arbitrary dimensions, and make no use of integrability. Contents2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 60K37, 82B26, 82B44, 82D60.

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In the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick (SK) and related mixed p-spin models, there is interest in understanding replica symmetry breaking at low temperatures. For this reason, the so-called AT line proposed by de Almeida and Thouless as a sufficient (and conjecturally necessary) condition for symmetry breaking, has been a frequent object of study in spin glass theory. In this paper, we consider the analogous condition for the multi-species SK model, which concerns the eigenvectors of a Hessian matrix. The analysis is tractable in the two-species case with positive definite variance structure, for which we derive an explicit AT temperature threshold. To our knowledge, this is the first nonasymptotic symmetry breaking condition produced for a multi-species spin glass. As possible evidence that the condition is sharp, we draw further parallel with the classical SK model and show coincidence with a separate temperature inequality guaranteeing uniqueness of the replica symmetric critical point.2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 60K35, 82B26, 82B44.

Directed polymers in random environment have usually been constructed with a simple random walk on the integer lattice. It has been observed before that several standard results for this model continue to hold for a more general reference walk. Some finer results are known for the so-called long-range directed polymer in which the reference walk lies in the domain of attraction of an α-stable process. In this note, low-temperature localization properties recently proved for the classical case are shown to be true with any reference walk. First, it is proved that the polymer's endpoint distribution is asymptotically purely atomic, thus strengthening the best known result for long-range directed polymers. A second result proving geometric localization along a positive density subsequence is new to the general case. The proofs use a generalization of the approach introduced by the author with S. Chatterjee in a recent manuscript on the quenched endpoint distribution; this generalization allows one to weaken assumptions on the both the walk and the environment. The methods of this paper also give rise to a variational formula for free energy which is analogous to the one obtained in the simple random walk case.2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 60K37, 82B26, 82B44, 82D60.

Within the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang universality class, the space-time Airy sheet is conjectured to be the canonical scaling limit for last passage percolation models. In recent work [27] of Dauvergne, Ortmann, and Virág, this object was constructed and, upon a parabolic correction, shown to be the limit of one such model: Brownian last passage percolation. The limit object without parabolic correction, called the directed landscape, admits geodesic paths between any two space-time points (x, s) and (y, t) with s < t. In this article, we examine fractal properties of the set of these paths. Our main results concern exceptional endpoints admitting disjoint geodesics. First, we fix two distinct starting locations x1 and x2, and consider geodesics traveling (x1, 0) → (y, 1) and (x2, 0) → (y, 1). We prove that the set of y ∈ R for which these geodesics coalesce only at time 1 has Hausdorff dimension one-half. Second, we consider endpoints (x, 0) and (y, 1) between which there exist two geodesics intersecting only at times 0 and 1. We prove that the set of such (x, y) ∈ R 2 also has Hausdorff dimension one-half.The proofs require several inputs of independent interest, including (i) connections to the so-called difference weight profile studied in [10]; and (ii) a tail estimate on the number of disjoint geodesics starting and ending in small intervals. The latter result extends the analogous estimate proved for the prelimiting model in [40].